UFC Fight Night Lemos vs Rodriguez: 3 Props to Target at Prize Picks
The UFC will be short on fan favorites heading into Saturday night. The main event is headlined by Amanda Lemos and Marina Rodriguez, with a number of underwhelming matchups scattered throughout the rest of the card. PrizePicks offers several lines this week that allows us to attack fighters with questions coming into a flex play this week.
UFC Fight Night Lemos vs Rodriguez: 3 Props to Target at Prize Picks
Tamires Vidal under 60.5 significant strikes.
Vidal is making her UFC debut, and there are many questions about her readiness. A quick look at her past fights shows that she is primarily a jiu-jitsu-based fighter with subpar takedown ability. Her striking is lackluster, to say the least, and while she is a strong girl, she has shown little ability to push the pace. She will be facing the plodding Ramona Pascual, who is hittable but figures to be the better striker. Pascual should be able to dictate where this fight takes place and may even win the grappling exchanges. This fight projects to go to a decision, but it’s hard to see a situation in which Vidal hits this number based on what she has put on film thus far.
Mario Bautista under 12.5 minutes.
Bautista is coming off of two wins, most recently finishing Brian Kelleher. Benito Lopez is coming off a three-year layoff. Lopez is a wild, dangerous striker that brings a bit of unknown due to the long layoff. Bettors are split on this fight, with 38% expecting a Bautista finish while 37% expect Bautista by decision. Bautista is the more technical striker and also offers four submission victories on his resume. Bautista has more paths to victory and should be the sharper fighter leading to a finish.
Miranda Maverick over 2.0 takedowns.
Maverick comes into this fight as the biggest favorite on the card. She also holds a win over Shanna Young. In that fight, she was able to get a submission in under three minutes in the first round. This fight is a stylistic problem for Young. Maverick is relentless in their effort to get the fight to the ground. Young will have an advantage in the boxing exchanges, but ultimately Maverick will be too much to handle and get this fight to the ground. The danger in this line is that Maverick may only need one takedown to finish the fight. Overall, betting this line is on the trend of women’s fights going long and Maverick’s ability to be a bully in this fight.
