Raybon's Review: DFS Lessons Learned in Week 6

Oct 18, 2017

Analyzing last week's results is one of the best investments of time you can make as a DFS player. Here I analyze winning lineups, low-owned players, and other notable Week 6 takeaways that can be used to gain an edge going forward.

DraftKings Week 6 Millionaire Maker Winning Lineup Review

Screen Shot 2017-10-18 at 8.38.33 AM.png

Chrisdmead took down the Week 6 Millionaire Maker by employing a few staple stacks:

A Matthew Stafford-Golden Tate-Mark Ingram game stack. This stack followed the classic game script of one team jumping out to a lead and running the ball while the other has to throw to catch up. The Saints ran the ball 37 times (25 with Ingram) and passed it only 31 times, while the Lions passed 57 times and ran only 19 times. This pass-heavy script allowed Golden Tate to rack up WR4 numbers despite missing the last 20 minutes of the game with a shoulder injury.
A Larry Fitzgerald-Cameron Brate game stack. This simply leverages the correlation of opposing passing games, which are effective because they have multiple avenues to hit, game script wise; while Arizona ended up jumping out to a big lead on the back of Fitzgerald and Brate got most of his numbers during the comeback attempt, they could have conceivably put up the same numbers if it was the other way around.
A Jerick McKinnon-Adam Thielen team stack. With Dalvin Cook (ACL) out for the season and Stefon Diggs (groin) out for the game, Chrisdmead correctly deduced that a large portion of the offense would have to run through McKinnon and Thielen. Because of its scoring format, DraftKings is the perfect site to leverage this type of situation because the site’s full-PPR system rewards sheer volume—McKinnon and Thielen combined for 14 of Minnesota’s 24 receptions (58.3%), 196 of its 351 total yards from scrimmage (55.8%), and both of TDs. When it works, a RB-WR stack allows you to invest in a decent-size chunk of a team’s offensive production. LeVeon Bell-Antonio Brown and Adrian Peterson-Larry Fitzgerald were two other RB-WR pairings that paid dividends in Week 6.

Another sharp move here was not being put off by Melvin Gordon's $1,800 salary increase and going back to him in another good spot. Although Gordon was now $7,800, he was still one of the true feature backs on the slate that had LeVeon Bell upside. Both ended up scoring over 30 points and finishing among the top-three RBs, but Gordon effectively arbitraged Bell, scoring 5.1 more points (36.0) than him (31.1) at a salary of $1,800 less.