DraftKings Week 15 Cash Game Picks and Strategy

Dec 17, 2020

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In general, my cash game strategy revolves around the running back position. My main focus is to roster three running backs with workhorse-type roles that simultaneously allow me to build a high-floor lineup at the other positions. Certain weeks, we'll be able to jam in multiple high-priced running backs because of the value that presents itself at quarterback, wide receiver and tight end.

Other weeks we may have to dip into the mid-range at running back because value hasn't emerged at the other positions. Because quarterback is a position with a narrower range of outcomes, it often makes sense to pay down for a signal-caller. As always it will depend on the makeup of the entire lineup, but I'll usually favor spending down at quarterback.

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I'm not opposed to paying up at wide receiver or tight end if the constraints of the week dictate that it's the most prudent lineup construction. However, with the propensity to allot the most salary to the running back position, I usually attempt to roster the most targets per dollar at wide receiver. It often results in rostering mid-tier wide receivers and tight ends. Given the volatility and variance week-to-week in pass-catchers, it makes sense to not use a ton of salary there as a general rule of thumb. Defense/special teams usually comes down to the cheapest defense with a respectable matchup and a relatively high sack rate, as pressure is what creates the plays defenses need to score fantasy points.

UPDATE: (Sunday 8:48am)

Alvin Kamra has become my top play on the slate with the switch to Brees and Michael Thomas out.
Obviously Taysom Hill is not a consideration any longer at quarterback, it comes down to Murray and Hurts.
Lamar Jackson is now in play with all of his pass-catchers coming off the COVID list.
The Saints receivers are great options now too, I prefer Sanders to TreQuan

Quarterback

Taysom Hill ($6,000) checks in as our top value in the lineup generator with a matchup against the Chiefs who rank bottom five in schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed (aFPA) to quarterbacks. We saw last week exactly what happens when the Saints are trailing in a game. Hill's rushing upside vanished because he was throwing for much of the game. Against the Chiefs, I can see this game script playing out again. I can also see them keeping pace with the Chiefs and the run game remaining in play. I would much rather if this game was a back-and-forth battle or the Saints held the upper hand because Hill's rushing equity would remain high. I don't lose all faith in Hill if he has to throw the ball, but it's definitely not why we are rostering him in fantasy. Regardless, his price is too cheap for the matchup. Hill has the goal line rush upside and, despite the switch in quarterbacks, the Saints haven't slowed the game down in terms of plays per game.