Sunday Night DFS Single Game Breakdown: Saints at Bucs

Nov 07, 2020

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Tom Brady's best buddy Antonio Brown is finally suiting up for Tampa, throwing the Bucs' pass-catching pecking order into chaos.

Then we have slant route-loving Michael Thomas' long-awaited return to the Saints lineup, presumably ending the days of Alvin Kamara seeing every other target from Drew Brees. Let's figure out how we can crack the code of a game rife with high-priced fantasy options.

Below is a breakdown of single-game DFS contests on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Week 9 Sunday Night Football matchup. Constructing single-game lineups requires some imagination, especially for large-field tournament purposes.

We want to create a lineup that reflects a certain kind of game script, choosing players who would thrive—or at least have the chance to thrive—if their teams got out to a lead or were left chasing points in the second half. There’s also the neutral script that doesn't tend to inflate opportunity for any one player or team. Understanding the likelihood of each scenario and piecing together a roster that would score a bunch of points in such a scenario is key to success in these single-game contests.

Remember: For the captain spot on DraftKings, the price (and fantasy points awarded) are multiplied by 1.5. On FanDuel, the prices are the same throughout, but the MVP slot receives 1.5 times the fantasy point value of the other roster spots.

Vegas Spread And Total

The Bucs are four-point favorites who have seen their implied total (27.5) fall by 2.5 points since the start of the week. The Saints' implied total has dropped by 0.5 points to 23.5—one of their lowest totals of 2020.