5 Players Set to Rise in Underdog ADP This Offseason

May 26, 2023

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A couple of weeks ago, Underdog Fantasy launched its Best Ball Mania IV tournament. Since the start of that tournament, we've already seen several players' average draft positions (ADPs) shift. But, where players are drafted is an ever-changing landscape. Whether it's due to injuries, camp battles, or training camp puff pieces, some player values are going to change dramatically by the end of the summer.

The value of closing-line ADP (drafting a player later than where his ADP settles at the end of draft season) has been discussed a lot this offseason as critical to advancing to the BBM playoffs. In this article, I outline five players that I expect will rise in ADP that, subsequently, you should draft now in hopes of getting closing-line ADP value. As you'll see in my explanations, the players I chose were not based off of any projected injuries (or health status updates to teammates) as those are nearly impossible to predict.

More Best Ball Mania IV Strategy: Positional Allocation | How BBMIV Prizes Impact Draft Strategy | Week 17 Games to Target | Best Ball Draft Curve | 5 Player Set to Fall

Best Ball Resources: BBMIV Rankings | Underdog ADP | Roster Construction Tool | Advance Rate Explorer | 2023 Schedule Grid

Anthony Richardson, Indianapolis Colts (Current ADP: 89.1)

Anthony Richardson has already been one of the biggest risers in ADP. Earlier this week, I wrote about how to approach the quarterback position in Underdog drafts. In that article, I noted that last year there were only two quarterbacks—Jalen Hurts and Trey Lance—among the top 10 quarterbacks drafted whose overall ADP rose over the summer. While Richardson has already hit that mark, I expect his upward trajectory to continue.

Once we get the training camp hype videos and think pieces about Richardson's physical attributes, I could see Richardson's ADP rise as high as the middle of the seventh round of drafts, right behind where Hurts ended up last year. He has the added benefit of being a rookie, of which we see are the players most prone to rise in ADP (aside from those benefitting from a teammate's injury).