Wide Receiver Sleepers, Values & Breakouts
The receiver position continues to be fairly deep thanks to the league’s emphasis on the passing game. Fantasy managers can wait until the fourth round to target the position and still put together a potent receiving corps, though things do get a little dicey around the eighth round (~WR40), so managers should be cognizant of that.
I’ll highlight some Values, Breakout Candidates, and Sleepers below.
Note: Since this is a receiver article, I’ll refer to Matt Harmon and his Reception Perception project early and often.
More Sleepers, Values & Breakouts: RB | QB | TE + Draft Day Strategery & 99 Stats to Know
Values
Terry McLaurin, Commanders
Terry McLaurin is on a great career trajectory. In his last three seasons, he has posted 87-1118-4 (WR20), 77-1053-5 (WR25), and 77-1191-5 (WR18), racking up the eighth-most receiving yards in that span. He consistently fares very well in Matt Harmon’s Reception Perception charting. The primary reason he’s going WR24 off the board is his quarterback situation, but I believe Sam Howell is an upgrade over what McLaurin has endured the last three seasons.
It’s a small sample, but Howell looked competent and targeted McLaurin on six of his 19 pass attempts in his lone 2022 start. That’s a 31.6% target share. McLaurin averaged 3.36 yards per route run in that game, which is outstanding.
He was 16th in yards per route run among all receivers last year. Among the 88 receivers with 30+ receptions, McLaurin posted the 14th-highest yards after contact per catch, and he had the 11th-most broken tackles per reception in the same subset.
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