Week 15 DraftKings & FanDuel Winning GPP Lineup Review

Dec 19, 2023
Week 15 Winning GPP Lineup Review

In this space each week, I will review the winning lineups from the DraftKings Millionaire Maker and the FanDuel Sunday Million. Analyzing top lineups can help to tease out lineup-building strategies and offer clues on how you could have landed on a similar team.

DraftKings Week 15 Millionaire Winning Lineup

Ownership

Ownership in Winning DraftKings Millionaire Lineups
Week QB RB1 RB2 WR1 WR2 WR3 TE Flex Flex Pos DEF Cumulative
1 5.8% 15.1% 9.7% 23.6% 16.9% 5.7% 3.7% 2.2% WR 35.5% 118.2%
2 3.3% 15.8% 9.5% 11.7% 11.0% 6.1% 5.0% 8.4% RB 9.8% 80.6%
3 3.7% 20.4% 16.2% 22.8% 20.6% 15.7% 9.3% 11.0% WR 12.3% 132.0%
4 6.1% 24.4% 3.3% 29.3% 12.6% 6.7% 14.7% 0.3% WR 6.2% 103.6%
5 6.2% 44.6% 31.2% 20.0% 15.8% 4.3% 5.6% 31.1% RB 8.5% 167.3%
6 4.2% 54.8% 18.9% 19.7% 10.8% 4.6% 9.3% 1.3% WR 3.4% 127.0%
7 11.6% 15.5% 10.3% 12.4% 4.4% 2.3% 19.8% 17.9% TE 12.8% 107.0%
8 6.4% 45.1% 29.7% 27.1% 7.8% 5.4% 19.5% 0.9% WR 8.6% 150.5%
9 6.9% 17.7% 15.7% 34.9% 6.8% 3.7% 5.7% 10.1% RB 11.5% 113.0%
10 7.6% 21.4% 13.7% 12.9% 8.0% 1.6% 19.6% 6.1% TE 11.8% 102.7%
11 14.5% 41.8% 28.9% 34.5% 24.2% 17.8% 9.0% 1.5% WR 9.2% 181.4%
12 15.0% 18.4% 15.8% 16.4% 13.8% 5.0% 2.9% 14.5% RB 1.0% 102.8%
13 21.1% 65.2% 8.3% 20.7% 9.6% 8.8% 6.8% 4.8% WR 14.1% 159.4%
14 3.7% 26.0% 5.9% 21.3% 16.5% 7.7% 14.6% 3.9% RB 5.9% 105.5%
15 1.0% 35.7% 15.3% 40.7% 11.5% 5.2% 14.7% 4.5% RB 7.5% 136.1%
AVG 7.8% 30.8% 15.5% 23.2% 12.7% 6.7% 10.7% 7.9% 10.5% 125.8%
2022 AVG 9.7% 22.2% 11.2% 20.3% 12.6% 8.3% 8.5% 6.1% 9.9% 108.7%
2021 AVG 7.6% 19.7% 9.5% 17.8% 11.8% 7.6% 10.0% 4.4% 7.1% 95.3%
2020 AVG 9.1% 24.0% 9.8% 18.0% 13.5% 8.7% 8.8% 4.2% 10.9% 106.9%
2019 AVG 7.8% 26.7% 14.5% 19.7% 10.3% 6.6% 12.6% 7.9% 11.1% 117.4%

Stacks

Stacks Used in Winning DraftKings Millionaire Lineups
Week Primary Stack Secondary Stack Third Stack Correlated Players
1 QB/WR/Opp RB 3
2 QB/RB/TE RB/DEF RB/Opp WR 7
3 QB/TE RB/WR 4
4 QB/WR RB/Opp WR WR/Opp TE 6
5 QB/WR RB/DEF RB/Opp WR 6
6 QB/WR/TE RB/WR 5
7 QB/TE RB/Opp TE 4
8 QB/WR/WR 3
9 QB/WR/WR/TE/Opp RB 5
10 QB/WR/WR TE/DEF 5
11 RB/WR WR/TE 4
12 WR/Opp WR 2
13 QB/WR RB/Opp RB 5
14 QB/WR/TE RB/Opp WR 5
15 QB/RB/Opp WR TE/DEF 5

Flex

For the second time this year, top-1% lineups flexed a tight end on over 30% of rosters—the field used two tight ends 21% of the time. Only 32% of top-1% lineups flexed a wide receiver, the lowest rate of the season by 10 percentage points.

Leverage/Unique Builds

The Packers passing offense was one of the most popular on the slate, with Jordan Love as the third-highest-owned quarterback in the Millionaire. Playing Baker Mayfield in the same game with a non-traditional stack offset Jayden Reed’s massive ownership.

With multiple Texans wide receivers injured, Noah Brown was set up for an expanded role against a Titans defense that went into the week allowing the eight-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points to wide receivers.

The Bills had one of the highest team totals on the slate but carried little ownership. James Cook was priced similarly to Ezekiel Elliott, who was in 26% of lineups.

FanDuel Week 15 Sunday Million Winning Lineup

Ownership

Ownership in Winning FanDuel Sunday Million Lineups
Week QB RB1 RB2 WR1 WR2 WR3 TE Flex Flex Pos DEF Cumulative
1 4.3% 20.2% 14.9% 23.3% 20.0% 4.0% 10.9% 0.6% WR 1.2% 99.4%
2 2.2% 13.1% 10.8% 11.3% 10.7% 7.1% 6.4% 3.3% RB 30.5% 95.4%
3 26.4% 29.7% 17.4% 10.7% 8.7% 8.2% 14.0% 13.6% RB 4.1% 132.8%
4 10.0% 27.1% 4.2% 10.3% 8.0% 1.2% 5.4% 2.2% RB 5.5% 73.9%
5 6.7% 29.8% 14.5% 13.9% 12.3% 10.3% 26.7% 6.7% TE 8.7% 129.6%
6 11.3% 28.8% 20.6% 25.6% 11.7% 9.4% 2.6% 14.7% RB 10.1% 134.8%
7 13.8% 29.8% 18.0% 12.2% 6.2% 4.0% 22.8% 7.8% RB 4.4% 119.0%
8 6.3% 18.7% 9.4% 17.3% 8.6% 7.1% 16.0% 4.7% RB 3.4% 91.5%
9 7.0% 25.7% 6.2% 22.3% 17.3% 15.7% 7.5% 9.0% WR 20.6% 131.3%
10 9.6% 15.5% 12.2% 15.5% 7.9% 2.2% 1.7% 9.7% RB 3.0% 77.3%
11 10.4% 38.2% 30.4% 29.6% 19.3% 10.3% 5.5% 0.7% WR 7.9% 152.3%
12 28.3% 36.9% 9.4% 23.6% 12.0% 8.9% 11.1% 4.9% RB 13.2% 148.3%
13 2.7% 11.6% 6.8% 17.4% 11.7% 8.4% 9.0% 5.5% RB 22.1% 95.2%
14 12.4% 7.4% 6.6% 27.1% 24.1% 19.4% 4.5% 10.3% WR 11.4% 123.2%
15 3.4% 23.4% 5.7% 28.8% 8.9% 2.8% 10.9% 3.4% RB 0.5% 87.8%
AVG 10.3% 23.7% 12.5% 19.3% 12.5% 7.9% 10.3% 6.5% 9.8% 112.8%
2022 AVG 11.8% 28.9% 13.8% 18.2% 13.5% 8.6% 12.8% 6.0% 7.6% 121.0%
2021 AVG 8.9% 24.5% 12.9% 19.5% 11.5% 7.2% 9.2% 6.5% 7.0% 107.2%
2020 AVG 10.4% 23.9% 12.9% 23.8% 13.5% 8.3% 9.6% 7.5% 7.5% 117.4%
2019 AVG 9.5% 24.1% 11.0% 21.0% 11.8% 7.1% 13.3% 5.2% 7.8% 110.8%

Stacks

Stacks Used in Winning FanDuel Sunday Million Lineups
Week Primary Stack Secondary Stack Third Stack Fourth Stack Correlated Players
1 0
2 QB/TE RB/DEF 4
3 QB/Opp WR RB/Opp WR RB/Opp WR 6
4 QB/WR/TE RB/Opp WR 5
5 QB/WR RB/DEF WR/Opp TE WR/Opp TE 8
6 QB/RB/Opp RB/Opp WR RB/Opp WR 6
7 QB/Opp RB/Opp WR RB/DEF WR/Opp TE 7
8 QB/WR RB/DEF 4
9 QB/WR/WR/TE/Opp RB WR/DEF 7
10 QB/WR/WR RB/DEF 5
11 QB/WR/TE RB/DEF RB/WR 7
12 QB/WR/Opp TE RB/Opp WR 5
13 QB/WR 2
14 QB/Opp WR RB/Opp WR 4
15 QB/TE RB/Opp RB WR/DEF 6

Leverage/Unique Builds

Joe Flacco was a price pivot off of Matthew Stafford, who projected for nearly 20% ownership and added correlation to a somewhat chalky David Njoku. As leverage off of Stafford and other chalky Rams, the Commanders' defense made sense, even though they posted a modest fantasy total.

Chris Godwin had an elevated target share in Week 14, which continued in Week 15. He offered leverage off of the Packers chalky pass-catchers.

James Conner added correlation in the same game as a chalky Christian McCaffrey.

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