Sunday Night DFS Single Game Breakdown: Packers at Saints

Sep 23, 2020

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The Saints' and Packers' defensive strengths mostly line up well with the opponents' offensive strengths in this week's Sunday night matchup. That could make this game a little lower scoring than one might think, though the concentration of opportunity in these offenses offers some clear paths to creating rosters with upside.

Below is a breakdown of single-game DFS contests on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Week 3 Sunday Night Football matchup. Constructing single-game lineups requires some imagination, especially for large-field tournament purposes.

We want to create a lineup that reflects a certain kind of game script, choosing players who would thrive—or at least have the chance to thrive—if their teams got out to a lead or were left chasing points in the second half. There’s also the neutral script that doesn't tend to inflate opportunity for any one player or team. Understanding the likelihood of each scenario and piecing together a roster that would score a bunch of points in such a scenario is key to success in these single-game contests.

Remember: For the captain spot on DraftKings, the price (and fantasy points awarded) are multiplied by 1.5. On FanDuel, the prices are the same throughout, but the MVP slot receives 1.5 times the fantasy point value of the other roster spots.

Vegas Spread And Total

The Saints, coming off a loss to the Raiders, are three-point home favorites with a 27.75 point implied total. The Packers, decimating opponents through two weeks, have an implied total of 24.75. Each team has seen their implied total climb by 0.5 points in recent days, even as their superstar wide receivers seem unlikely to get the green light for Sunday night.