GPP Stacks, Fades and Leverage Plays: Week 5

Oct 08, 2021

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This year we haven't seen too much "chalk" outside of Alexander Mattison on FanDuel, and multiple factors have gone into it. For starters, the continued growth into the DFS industry has allowed more access to the "cheap plays" of the week, both DFS sites have priced a lot better, but more importantly, we are in a year where people are just becoming sharper in DFS. As a result, ownership is becoming a lower factor in my process until those bye weeks come, and I see a way to exploit it.

The 50-yard receiving touchdown is something we all are chasing each week with some of our cheap plays and taking a look at this slate, the Bears, Packers, and Titans are the teams to highlight. The Bears have given up eight passing touchdowns this year, seven of which have been on throws 20+ yards down the field, and they are facing a Raiders passing offense that leads the league in passes over 20 yards. The Packers have only given up four completions of over 20 yards but most likely are missing their best cover corner in Jaire Alexander, and every one of these completions resulted in a touchdown. Lastly, the Titans give up the most passing yards to 20-yard throws, most completions on such throws, and are facing a Jaguars team that is top 10 in 20+ yard throw attempts.

For my GPP article this week, you have the player pools that I am using between each site and game stacks, mini stacks, and some one-offs. The player pool is designed to simplify lineup builds. I will mention Z-Score quite a bit and if you don't know what Z-Score is, check out the preseason article I wrote by clicking here.

The three tools I am using the most when considering building my lineups are the Cumulative Ownership Projections, DFS Correlation Tool, and the Stack Value Report at 4for4.

If you haven't checked out the DFS Playbook, please do so because it will guide you on how to approach each position, and you can align that with some of the plays you will read below.

For up-to-the-minute and Sunday morning updates, be sure to join the 4for4 DFS subscription-only Discord channel.