Rams vs. Bengals Super Bowl LVI Odds: How Each Team Can Cover the Spread

Feb 04, 2022

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Matthew Stafford has squashed the belief he’s not a big-game quarterback and exercised his demons in making his first Super Bowl since being the first overall pick in the 2009 NFL Draft. His counterpart and fellow No. 1 draft pick, Joe Burrow, took only two seasons to make it here and is looking to become the first quarterback to win the Triple Crown of awards—College Football National Championship, Heisman Trophy & Super Bowl. They're both the odds-on favorites to win the Super Bowl MVP, too.

Bengals vs. Rams Odds*

	Rams	Bengals
Spread	-4.5 (-108)	+4.5 (-110)
Moneyline	-202	+174
Over/Under	48.5 (-110)

*Odds based on consensus & are accurate as of today at 2:45 p.m. ET; See the most up-to-date odds here: https://www.4for4.com/nfl-odds.

We kick-off on Sunday, February 13 at approximately 6:30 p.m. ET from the beautiful SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles. The Rams are currently 4.5-point favorites with the game total holding steady at 48.5. Before settling on which side will get your money, let’s take a quick look at their odds and trends which can affect your decision.

Last 10 Games ATS Trends

	ATS	Favorite	Underdog	Over/Under
Rams	6-4	4-4	2-0	5-5
Bengals	8-2	3-1	5-1	4-6

Rams Super Bowl Odds & Trends

The Rams won the NFC West and finished the year 12-5. They dismantled the Cardinals and apart from the final few minutes in Tampa Bay, dominated the defending Super Bowl champs before finally beating the 49ers to make it here. The Rams are 4.5-point favorites with just hours before game time but have had their difficulties covering as so. Over their last 10 games, they went 4-4 as favorites and are 1-3 ATS in their four since Week 17. As far as totals go, L.A. established an interesting trend over their last 10 games. They're 5-5 and have alternated over/under during that stretch. The NFC Championship game against San Francisco went under, so if you like trends, the over is in play.

How the Rams Can Cover (-4.5)

Los Angeles has made it to this point because of a dynamic offense, but more so with the improvement of their defense. Outside of those four minutes in Tampa mentioned earlier, they’re allowing under 14 points per game this postseason and have kept each opponent to well under their season average of yards gained. The Rams excel in defending what the Bengals have been reliant upon during their string of success and are holding all three opponents to a combined 6-of-32 (18.7%) on third-downs. L.A. also held opposing teams to only 17 passing touchdowns on the season, which could spell problems for Cincinnati as 60% of their scores came through the air. I’d be remiss not to mention Cincinnati’s poor pass protection. They finished 31st in sack rate allowed (9%), let Joe Burrow go down an NFL-high 51 times during the regular season, and gave up an NFL playoffs record nine sacks to Tennessee. That most definitely has the Rams' defense, who finished third with 50 sacks before the playoffs, seeing red or dollar signs ahead of the Super Bowl.

Bengals Super Bowl Odds and Trends

Cincinnati began the year with a surprising overtime victory over Minnesota, which was a sign of things to come. Overall, they finished the 2021-2022 season at 10-7 and won their first division title since 2015. They staved off a sack barrage by Tennesse and mounted one of the largest ever comebacks in Kansas City to make it to Super Bowl LVI. They’re 4.5-point underdogs just a few hours before kick-off and are more than comfortable in this spot. Cincy finished the year 8-3 ATS as dogs and have not only covered their last five but won four of those outright, including their last two playoff games. Unlike the Rams, Bengals games routinely finished under the posted total with six of their last eight and four straight going under. The trend of note here is that Cincinnati has covered in five of their last six games that finished under the total while winning four of those outright.

How the Bengals Can Cover (+4.5)

Cincinnati has limited their own turnovers and taken advantage of timely takeaways which have helped get them to this point. Their offense has just two giveaways since week 15 and they have a turnover margin of +5 during the postseason. That's fantastic news against a Rams offense that loves to give teams extra possessions and who has turned the ball over a total of 14 times their last seven games. They also boast one of the league's top passing offenses, which on paper, matches up well against the Rams' defense. Cincy finished first in the NFL, averaging 8.7 yards per pass attempt while L.A. was 22nd in total passing yards against and 31st in yards after the catch allowed. If their defense can continue to create turnovers and just keep the game close then Iceman Evan McPherson could play a huge role in whether or not they cover.