FanDuel & DraftKings NFL DFS Week 5 GPP Breakdown

Oct 07, 2023

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

In this space each week will be the top stacks, contrarian plays, and strategies to attack GPPs on both FanDuel and DraftKings. The backbone of our player pool is value, as highlighted by 4for4’s proprietary value metric, which goes beyond simple point-per-dollar projections. To be successful in GPPs, however, it’s essential to be unique and that can be accomplished by combining knowledge from 4for4’s suite of DFS tools including ownership projections, leverage scores, correlation, and stack values.

Even with all of these resources at our disposal, adjusting for game type is essential. For example, someone playing the Millionaire Maker shouldn’t have the same approach as someone entering a $300 single-entry contest with 150 entries. For nuanced explanations on game selection and lineup construction, be sure to check out 4for4’s DFS Strategy Hub and DFS MVP game theory segments.

Note: Many of 4for4’s value plays should be in your GPP player pool but may not necessarily be written about below. Most starters on teams with high implied totals are worthy of being rostered but players in this breakdown are those to be overweight on.

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More Week 5 DFS Strategy: Top Values and Cash Plays | WR/CB Matchups | Ownership Projections | Leverage Scores

Popular Games to Target

Chiefs @ Vikings (+3.5); O/U 53

Patrick Mahomes ($9,200 FanDuel/$8,200 DraftKings) was blitzed on only 28% (33rd) of his dropbacks last year but still led the league with 17 passing touchdowns against said scheme. It’s important to note that Brian Flores has sent the house on an NFL-high 61.8% of Minnesota’s defensive snaps this season.

Try jamming in Travis Kelce ($8,789 FD/$7,600 DK) with Mahomes if you wish, but you’ll soon discover it’s an impossible task with so little savings leftover for elsewhere; Rashee Rice ($5,000 FD/$3,600 DK) fits easier and is the preferred stacking partner over Skyy Moore ($5,700 FD/$4,400 DK) since it’s the rookie who ran just two fewer raw routes (44%) than Moore (49%) on Sunday night, earning a 13.6% target share to Moore’s 10.2% share on the season.