CeeDee Lamb

Fantasy Upside
CeeDee Lamb finished under double-digit half-PPR fantasy points on only three occurrences last season —all of which came in the first five weeks— and notched over 20 points seven times, two of which came in Weeks 16+17. Fantasy managers who won their Championships with (or because of) him are eager to get him back on their rosters, and for good reason. He finished with an outlandish 29.2% target share and 19.7 FPPG, scoring the most fantasy points at the wide receiver position. His 2024 upside is the most valuable player in the game.

Fantasy Downside
Barring an unforeseen injury to himself or Dak Prescott, it's hard to find much downside for Lamb this season, which is why he's often going as the 1.01. If we want to dig deep, his offensive line should see a bit of a downgrade, and there's at least some sort of chance that he could miss games due to a contract dispute. Disregarding the unknowable, it's hard to come up with a scenario in which he isn't at least a top-5 option at his position.

2024 Bottom Line
CeeDee Lamb is very good at football, still only 25 years old, and has very little competition to sink him below an elite share of Prescott's pass attempts. Draft him everywhere you can and see if he can dethrone Tyreek Hill as the most valuable WR in all of fantasy.

Week 16 at Miami Dolphins

The Cowboys' meltdown against the Bills sunk all boats in the Boys' passing game, even the safe and steady CeeDee Lamb. Lamb's 10 targets produced seven grabs for 53 yards, which was unlikely to pay any bills in terms of fantasy production. He was able to sprinkle some touchdown deodorant onto his day with a three-yard rushing score on his way to the WR16 in Week 15.

The Dolphins' defense has been somewhat more forgiving towards wide receivers than running backs this season, as they rank 20th in aFPA to wideouts compared to ninth against running backs. There is some concern that the Dolphins may follow last week's gameplan and have Jalen Ramsey shadow Lamb, but this is the only possible fly in the ointment for Lamb's fantasy hopes in Week 16. He should be viewed as a safe high-end WR1, and let's be honest you're not sitting him at this stage of the season, whatever the matchup.

Week 14 vs. Philadelphia Eagles

When Dak Prescott shines, CeeDee Lamb also shines. This was evident in Week 13, with Lamb posting 12 catches for 116 yards and a touchdown on 17 targets, giving him 26.6 Half-PPR points. Lamb is the WR2 in points per game this season.

Lamb has another eruption spot in Week 14, with the Eagles ranking dead last in aFPA to wide receivers. This game should be a shootout, and we'd expect Lamb to feast very heartily.