Josh Jacobs
  • Josh Jacobs

  • RB
  • , Green Bay Packers
  • 26
  • 223 lbs
  • 5' 10"
  • Alabama
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Scouting report

by Pete Behnke

OAK RB Josh Jacobs - Week 5 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 5 vs. Chicago Bears in London

Before the game against the Colts, Jon Gruden said, “We’ve got to get more out of Josh as a receiver.” Was Jacobs more involved in the passing game? Of course not! Jacobs had two targets, while DeAndre Washington had three and Jalen Richard had one. The Raiders put up 31 points in a shocking road upset but Jacobs was held out of the endzone. He finished with 17 rushing attempts for 79 yards. Jacobs scored two touchdowns in the season opener but hasn’t scored since.

Touchdowns are extremely hard to predict but his scoreless streak may continue this week against the Bears are third-best against running backs, per our signature schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed metric. 4for4 rankings expert John Paulsen has Jacobs ranked as the half PPR RB23.

by Pete Behnke

OAK RB Josh Jacobs - Week 4 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 4 at Indianapolis Colts

Josh Jacobs Week 3 performance requires context. The game got out of hand early and Jacobs was dealing with an illness. This helps to explain why Jalen Richard played 29 snaps, DeAndre Washington played nine snaps, and Jacobs only played 25 snaps. Jacobs finished with 10 rushing attempts for 44 yards, and zero receptions on two targets. On Monday, Jon Gruden said, “We’ve got to get more out of Josh as a receiver.” The Raiders are road underdogs (+7), so we should be able to see if Gruden is serious or using coach speak.

Jacobs could bounce back this week because the Colts are fifth-worst against running backs, as shown by our signature schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed metric. The Colts scheme towards allowing short passes to running backs rather than giving up big downfield plays to wide receivers. 4for4 rankings expert John Paulsen has Jacobs ranked as the Half PPR RB19.

by Pete Behnke

OAK RB Josh Jacobs - Week 3 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 3 at Minnesota Vikings

Josh Jacobs was a popular Week 2 daily fantasy play but he only played 48% of snaps and his usage in the passing game against a weak Kansas City defense was highly disappointing. The Raiders were down 28-10 at halftime and Jacobs was not used as a receiver in the negative game script. In fact, he didn’t have a single target in the entire game. Jacobs showed the ability to be a pass catching back at Alabama but he only has one target through two weeks. DeAndre Washington has two receptions on two targets and Jalen Richard has two receptions on three targets. The good news is that Jacobs had 12 carries for 99 yards but many expected a Week 2 breakout against the Chiefs.

The bad news is that he will face a very difficult Week 3 matchup on the road against the Minnesota Vikings. The Raiders are road underdogs (+8) and only implied for 17.75 points. Our 4for4 rankings expert, John Paulsen, has Jacobs as the Half PPR RB23. Jacobs is a fringe RB2 but his lack of usage in the passing game is a concern as an eight point road underdog. To make matters worse, Jacobs is dealing with a hip injury and has reportedly lost 10 pounds due to illness. He is still on track to play on Sunday but monitor his status closely if he is in your starting lineup.

by Pete Behnke

OAK RB Josh Jacobs - Week 2 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 2 vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Jacobs was heavily involved in his first NFL game. He had 23 rushing attempts for 85 yards and two touchdowns and one reception for 28 yards. He finished as the fifth-best running back with 23.8 Half PPR fantasy points.

The only negative from Jacobs was he was hardly involved in the passing game. However, this could have been a result of the Raiders playing with a lead because passing down specialist, Jalen Richard, didn’t have a single target. Week 2 will give us a better idea of who the Raiders target out of the backfield because they could be down multiple touchdowns to a powerful Chiefs offense. Week 4for4 rankings expert John Paulsen has Jacobs ranked as the Half PPR RB14 and is worth starting in fantasy lineups.

by Pete Behnke

OAK RB Josh Jacobs - Week 1 Fantasy Football Outlook

Week 1 vs. Denver Broncos

Jacobs was not used as a true three-down running back at Alabama because Nick Saban had two NFL caliber running backs on the same team. Jacobs was in a running back committee with Damien Harris, who was drafted by New England in the third round. Jacobs is expected to get the lion’s share of attempts above teammate Jalen Richard. Jacobs’ stock received a boost at the end of August when Doug Martin was released from the team.

The Raiders are home underdogs (+2.5) against the Broncos in Week 1. We haven’t seen Jacobs play a regular-season game yet but it appears he will be game script independent because he has a three-down skill set. The Vegas point spread should not be a major factor. The Broncos are average against running backs as shown by our signature schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed metric that has them ranked 17th best in the NFL. 4for4’s rankings expert John Paulsen has Jacobs as the PPR RB18 in Week 1 with a median projection of 14.3 fantasy points. Jacobs is startable in every league format.

by Pete Behnke

OAK RB Josh Jacobs - 2019 Fantasy Football Outlook

Fantasy Upside
Generally speaking, tight end breakouts take three years and wide receiver breakouts take two years. Rookie running backs, on the other hand, can have an immediate impact in their first year. Don’t shy away from Jacobs because he is a rookie and you haven’t seen him play on Sundays.

The Raiders used premium draft capital by selecting him in the first round of the draft with the 24th overall pick. Oakland was an ideal landing spot for Jacobs because his three-down skill set matches the void left by the departure of Marshawn Lynch. Isaiah Crowell would have challenged Jacobs for touches, but he suffered a torn Achilles in May and will not return this year. Doug Martin and Jalen Richard are still with the team but expect Jacobs to get the vast majority of touches. 4for4’s median projections have Jacobs finishing with 285 total touches. However, his receiving ability gives him the potential to finish with over 300 touches.

Fantasy Downside
All indications point towards Jacobs being used heavily by the Raiders but he was more of a rotational player in college. In his freshman season at Alabama, Jacobs was behind three teammates in total rushing attempts. He battled a hamstring injury in 2017 and saw his total rushing attempts drop to fifth-highest on the team. Last season, his role expanded and he finished with 120 rushing attempts, and 20 receptions, which was only behind Damien Harris who had 150 rushing attempts and 22 receptions. Jacobs’ durability is the primary question mark because it is reasonable to think Jacobs could finish his rookie season with close to 300 total touches.

2019 Bottom Line
Jacobs was not used as a true three-down running back at Alabama because Nick Saban had two NFL caliber running backs on the same team. Jacobs was in a running back committee with Damien Harris, who was drafted by New England in the third round. Jacobs is expected to get the lion’s share of attempts above teammates Jalen Richard and Doug Martin. Oakland might face negative game scripts on a regular basis because they play against Kansas City, LA Chargers, Indianapolis, Chicago, Green Bay, and Houston. However, Jacobs’ role in the receiving game will help to protect him against these situations. Three down running backs are rare in today’s NFL and they should not be overlooked in fantasy drafts because opportunity leads to production. Jacobs will face a middle of the pack, 16th easiest running back schedule, according to 4for4's schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed.

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