Fantasy Upside
Following the release of Leonard Hankerson during the season and Roddy White at the conclusion of 2015, the Falcons decided to invest $32.5 million in free agent Mohamad Sanu this offseason. Sanu immediately becomes the No. 2 receiver behind Julio Jones in Atlanta, and if he can step into the same role Jacob Tamme held following the release of Hankerson last season, fantasy owners might stumble onto a sleeper in the late rounds. After Jones, the next target in Ryan’s progression last year was often Tamme, so there’s a possibility Sanu could rack up 70 receptions for between 800-850 yards and 5-8 touchdowns. Given he’s not even being drafted in some 10-team leagues, that kind of production would offer excellent value.
Fantasy Downside
Ankle and foot injuries prevented Marvin Jones from playing any games for the Bengals in 2014 and Sanu benefited from being thrust into a major role. Despite playing opposite A.J. Green in Cincinnati’s offense, Sanu finished with just 56 receptions for 790 yards, while leading the NFL in drops. Optimists say Sanu will thrive after being relegated to the No. 3 role a year ago behind Green and Jones. But if Sanu is so good, why didn’t he earn more playing time a year ago? He’ll face plenty of one-on-one coverage playing opposite Jones in Kyle Shanahan’s offense, but he didn’t do much with the one-on-one opportunities playing opposites A.J. Green in 2014. Granted, his targets should double now that he’ll be a full-time starter again, but betting that his production will also spike is a bit of a gamble.
2016 Bottom Line
Sanu ranks as our WR50 in standard formats and has an ADP of 13.09 in 12-team leagues. The Falcons didn’t sink over $32 million in Sanu not to use him, but while his opportunities will increase, his ceiling is that of a WR3 unless Jones suffers a significant injury. View Sanu as a WR4/5 for 2016.