Nick Chubb

Fantasy Upside
Once Nick Chubb was given the reigns to the backfield last season, he was instant gold. He picked up his first start in Week 7 and from then on, he scored eight touchdowns in his first seven games. He had 70+ yards in every game but one (the final game of the season where he received less touches), averaging 16.6 half ppr points per game over the final eight weeks. He also received 15+ touches in every start but two as a rookie.

Fantasy Downside
The obvious downside this season is the addition of Kareem Hunt. Chubb would be an easy first-round selection without the presence of Hunt, but his signing makes things difficult. Hunt is talented enough to be an RB1 on his own, so having two backs with this type of talent complicates their fantasy values. Then there’s also Duke Johnson in the same backfield, and although he’s requested a trade, he remains on the team and could just add to the committee backfield in Cleveland.

2019 Bottom Line
The good news for Chubb is Hunt is suspended for the first eight games of the season. This gives Chubb RB1 value for the first half, giving him plenty of value to be drafted early. With Odell Beckham Jr. also joining the squad, it should open up the offense for more explosive plays all around. Chubb will be a decent selection near the end of the second round, where his current ADP sits.

Week 16 vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Nick Chubb didn't score a touchdown last week, so he's easily droppable at this point. All jokes aside, Chubb finished with 100 yards, which is a milestone he's reached three times already despite not starting all season. It was also the first time in the last five games he didn't score at least once. It just speaks to how great Chubb has been when you're surprised he didn't score.

He gets a great matchup this week as the Bengals have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing backs this season. Chubb had 128 yards and two scores against them the last time he played, so he should be a great option. We like him as a strong RB1.

Week 14 vs. Carolina Panthers

Nick Chubb had his worst game last week since taking over as the starter, but he still finished with 72 yards and a touchdown. If that's his floor, then that's very impressive. Chubb has scored in five of his six games since taking over and has at least 70 yards in each contest.

He does get a tough matchup against the Panthers this week, however. Carolina is giving up the fifth-fewest fantasy points to opposing backs and is sixth in allowing the fewest rush yards per game (96.3). But Carolina has given up a rushing score to a back in five of its last six games. We think Chubb will be fine and he can be viewed as a low-end RB1.