Trevor Lawrence

Fantasy Upside
What a difference a year makes, You don't need a math degree to measure the progress made in Year 2 by Trevor Lawrence, who doubled his touchdown total and sliced his interceptions in half while leading the Jaguars to the playoffs. At 23, the former No. 1 overall pick matched Deshaun Watson (2018) as the youngest QB in NFL history to throw for at least 4,000 yards with 25-plus TDs and fewer than 10 picks. He formed instant connections last season with WRs Christian Kirk and Zay Jones and hopes to do the same with newcomer Calvin Ridley, a 90-1,374-9 performer with Atlanta in 2020. The Jaguars also used their first three 2023 draft picks on Lawrence's side of the ball, adding OT Anton Harrison, TE Brenton Strange and RB Tank Bigsby. Harrison is the likely replacement for blind-side protector Cam Robinson, who will miss the start of the season on a PED suspension.

Fantasy Downside
Lawrence will never be Jalen Hurts or Daniel Jones, so he lacks the rushing upside of other elite fantasy passers. Still, he did rush for five scores to cement his spot in the fantasy top 10.

2023 Bottom Line
With Lawrence entering his third season with momentum, 4for4's John Paulsen believes fantasy managers should confidently draft him as the seventh or eighth quarterback off the board.

Week 16 at New York Jets

Week 15 saw another wonderful performance from Trevor Lawrence, both in fantasy and reality. Lawrence passed for 318 yards and four touchdowns, adding another 21 yards on three rushes, as the Jaguars came back to beat the Dallas Cowboys in overtime. He did throw an interception, his first since Week 8, and lost a fumble. But Lawrence was still able to put up 26.8 fantasy points, finishing as the QB6 last week.

Lawrence lost his left tackle Cam Robinson to a season-ending injury in Week 15, a loss that makes his matchup against the Jets even more unappealing. The Jets rank fourth in aFPA to quarterbacks this season and have given up the fourth-fewest passing yards. The Jets have an imposing 13-12 touchdown to interception ratio, too. Lawrence should be viewed as a high-end QB2 this week.

Week 14 at Tennessee Titans

Trevor Lawrence endured a pretty miserable game against the Lions in Week 13. He completed just 54.85 of his passes, going 17-31 for a mere 179 yards and a touchdown. He also rushed four times for another 32 yards, but could only muster up 16.4 fantasy points. Lawrence finished as the QB14 in fantasy. He did appear to suffer a nasty-looking leg injury toward the end of the first half against the Lions, but Lawrence missed only a few plays.

Lawrence should be able to bounce back in Week 14 against a pass-funnel defense in the Titans. The Titans rank 28th in aFPA to quarterbacks this season, allowing 294 passing yards per game while allowing 22 passing scores. Lawrence should be in the top 12 conversation when all is said and done this week.