DFS Tight End Analysis: Week 14

Dec 07, 2017

DFS is a game of exploiting a lot of small edges, therefore all options at each position should be explored every week. Below is an analysis of this week’s tight ends on the main slate, including the upside and downside of the most viable players on the slate with explanations for how you might adjust your approach to the position depending on the game type.

Chalk

This week is unique in that the chalk at tight end is at both ends of the salary spectrum, meaning there should be relatively flat ownership among tight ends priced in the TE2–TE15 range.

After a big bounce back game in Week 13, Travis Kelce ($8,000 FD/$7,400 DK) is expected to be the highest-owned tight end of the week. Even as the most expensive tight end on both sites, Kelce is projected as the top value at his position on both FanDuel and DraftKings. No tight end has accounted for a higher target share over the past six weeks and Kansas City is favored by four points over the Raiders at home with the second-highest implied point total of the week. Oakland ranks outside the top 20 in schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed (aFPA) to tight ends, but they gave up just 33 yards to Kelce in their first meeting this year.
With C.J. Fiedorowicz injured in Week 13, Stephen Anderson ($4,500/$3,200) played 84% of the Texans’ snaps and was targeted 12 times—only Rob Gronkowski saw a higher share than Anderson last week. The Texans are home favorites against a 49ers defense ranked in the top half of the league in aFPA to tight ends, but San Francisco has allowed 6 touchdowns to the position in the last six weeks.