The Top DFS Stacks on FanDuel and DraftKings in Week 6

Oct 12, 2017

Below I’ll be diving into stacks that mainly involve Week 6's highest over/unders. For starters, I’ll lead with my favorite game stack from the highest implied over/under game, followed by analyzing the next three games with the highest totals on the slate, and then a low-owned stack.

Top Stacks From Games With High Vegas Totals

Detroit Lions (22.25) @ New Orleans Saints (27.75) — 50 Over/Under

Drew Brees ($8,600/$7,200) + Mark Ingram ($5,900/$4,400) + Michael Thomas ($8,500/$7,300)

The Saints return from the bye week with a home matchup against the Lions where they are implied for 27.75 points. Since 2015, Brees has averaged 351 passing yards, 2.65 touchdowns, and 30.87 fantasy points when at home.

Pairing Brees with Michael Thomas makes the most sense—despite his matchup with Darius Slay. While quarterbacks have a passer rating of 78.8 when throwing at Slay (which isn’t great), he’s allowed the 16th-most receiving yards in the league (246) on 21 receptions on the 34 targets thrown his direction. He has also allowed 2 touchdowns. Thomas owns 24 percent of the target share and 36 percent of their air yards for the Saints, and he has 8 or more targets in every game this season.

I think it’s likely that people will gravitate towards Alvin Kamara coming off a 10-catch game against the Dolphins in Week 4, but I am on the Mark Ingram train this week in both cash games and GPPs. With Adrian Peterson on the team, Ingram was already playing slightly above his average snap rate, and he is still an underrated receiver. Kamara is out-targeting Ingram (28–22), but Ingram is out-carrying Kamara (42–15), along with out-carrying him by a 3-to-1 ratio in terms of carries inside the 5-yard line. I think Peterson's departure helps Ingram’s carry-floor more than Kamara’s. Kamara is a fine play, but I’d rather side with the running back who is getting more goal-line work.