DFS Projected Ownership Analysis: Week 16

Dec 19, 2019

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Leveraging ownership percentages is a crucial aspect of creating tournament lineups. In this article, I use the 4for4 metric GPP Leverage Scores to highlight players whose projected ownership is either too high or too low. You can get a complete explanation of how the metric works here, but in short, the leverage score takes projected ownership and compares it to an implied ownership. The projected ownership is the prediction of what percentage of lineups a particular player will be owned in. A player’s implied ownership is 4for4’s recommended ownership based on salary, point projection and positional scarcity, among other factors. Comparing the two ownership percentages can highlight players who 4for4 projections are higher or lower on relative to the field. Note that every position may not be included in each section.

Players To Be Overweight On

RB Alvin Kamara ($7,200 FD/$7,500 DK) @ Titans

The Saints travel to Tennesee for one of two games of the Week with an over/under above 50 and the spread on this one is just three in favor of New Orleans. Ownership should slant towards the passing games here as Drew Brees and Ryan Tannehill have been the most efficient fantasy quarterbacks without the last name Jackson. Derrick Henry should draw decent ownership, as well, but Kamara could be the leverage play of the week. The Saints have used Kamara in a similar fashion to his first two seasons but the touchdowns just haven’t been there. At what should be sub-15% ownership, this is a great spot to be overweight on the main back in an uber-efficient offense.