FanDuel Week 16 Slate Breakdown with Cash and GPP Picks

Dec 19, 2019

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In this space each week, I give my overall FanDuel cash game and tournament strategy thoughts and discuss how players fit into these strategies. By offering a general approach to the week, along with a player pool to consider, you should walk away feeling well-equipped no matter your bankroll strategy or game selection process. For those new to 4for4, we use a proprietary value metric to determine the best values across all positions, rather than the flawed raw point-per-dollar value you usually find across the industry. An extension of our value metric and projections is our GPP Leverage Score, a single value that drives our decisions on which players we can be most confident using in GPPs as it relates to their expected ownership in large-field tournaments.

Main Slate Cash Game Strategy

Quarterback

Fitting in high-priced players is a difficult task this week but early builds favor paying up at quarterback and Lamar Jackson ($9,300) returns to the main slate to claim the top value of the week. Baltimore’s MVP candidate hasn’t scored fewer than 19.8 FD points since Week 5 and he’s the most efficient fantasy quarterback in the league on a per-attempt basis. Baltimore is favored by 10 with an implied total of 29 against a Browns defense ranked 25th in schedule-adjusted points allowed (aFPA) to quarterbacks. One of Cleveland’s biggest weaknesses on defense has been defending mobile quarterbacks, which obviously benefits Jackson.

Because Lamar is so expensive relative to the field, it’s worth considering dropping down to Russell Wilson ($8,300), especially for owners trying to jam in Christian McCaffrey or Michael Thomas. Seattle is the only team with a higher implied total that Baltimore this week and they are at home against a Cardinals defense ranked 27th or worse in aFPA to every skill position, including last against quarterbacks. Wilson has posted middling fantasy numbers lately but Arizona has allowed 20+ points to the position in four of their last six games.