DFS Projected Ownership Analysis: Week 17

Dec 27, 2019

Michael Reaves/Getty Images

Leveraging ownership percentages is a crucial aspect of creating tournament lineups. In this article, I use the 4for4 metric GPP Leverage Scores to highlight players whose projected ownership is either too high or too low. You can get a complete explanation of how the metric works here, but in short, the leverage score takes projected ownership and compares it to an implied ownership. The projected ownership is the prediction of what percentage of lineups a particular player will be owned in. A player’s implied ownership is 4for4’s recommended ownership based on salary, point projection and positional scarcity, among other factors. Comparing the two ownership percentages can highlight players who 4for4 projections are higher or lower on relative to the field. Note that every position may not be included in each section.

Players To Be Overweight On

RB Joe Mixon ($7,300 FD/$7,200 DK) vs. Browns

With the focus on teams that have something to play for, Mixon could end up way under-owned behind players in playoff contention, especially after Mixon’s flu game debacle last week. The fact remains the Bengals have continued to feed Mixon a featured back touch share despite being out of playoff contention for weeks, even offering him 23 touches while sick last week. The Bengals are small favorites but are at home against a Browns defense ranked in the bottom 10 in schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs. Even if Mixon hits his ceiling ownership projection, rostering him in just a tenth of lineups should put you overweight on the field.