FanDuel Week 14 Cash Game Picks and Strategy

Dec 11, 2021

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In this space each week will be the top cash plays on FanDuel with strategies on how to build a profitable cash lineup. The backbone of 4for4’s cash game approach is our proprietary value metric, which goes beyond simple point per dollar projections. That value calculation extends to a player’s odds of hitting cash game value based on their implied volatility according to their floor, median and ceiling projections.

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Quarterbacks

Week 14 presents a peculiar puzzle for cash game players on FanDuel. The top-end quarterbacks find themselves mostly in sub-par matchups, while many mid-tier salary quarterbacks have superb matchups. Other factors—mainly injuries to themselves or other key skill players—make them tough to recommend. Also complicating factors is the general lack of value available at other positions. This confluence of circumstances makes the premium-salary quarterback tier tough to recommend this weekend.

Nonetheless, our value metric still likes Tom Brady ($8,200) if you can get up to him, despite facing Buffalo’s top-ranked defense according to schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed (aFPA). The Buccaneers continue to play at the fourth-fastest game-script adjusted pace in the NFL, and even contextualizing for game-script, pass more often than any other team in the league, which indicates there should be plenty of plays and scoring, as usual, for Tampa Bay this weekend.