Week 3 Preseason NFL DFS Breakdown: Saturday Main Slate

Aug 26, 2023

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NOTE: This is a working document. I will be tweaking this article all the way up to about 30 minutes before kickoff. Much of the news and information needed to create sharp preseason lineups is gleaned just hours before the game begins. It's prudent to check back before kickoff for updates and changes. Join the 4for4 subscriber-only discord channel during the afternoon as well.

Identifying Preseason Plays

Reviewing Depth Charts/Injuries - If there is a certain position on a team's depth chart that is thin, we want to roster those players as they'll most likely be subject to a ton of playing time. Playing time is king and we need to identify who will be on the field the longest because that's the only way you can score points
Press Conferences/Coachspeak - For each slate, I fire up podcasts and read press conference transcripts of head coaches answering questions about the upcoming preseason games to determine if they are tipping how they will divide playing time or if a certain player will get an extended look.
Beat Reports - I will also search through articles and Twitter feeds of beat reporters (as well as DM them sometimes) to get their take on who will be playing the most snaps and which players have stood out in camp.

Roster Construction

Don't worry too much about ownership percentage. We don't have an entire slate of viable plays from 10-14 teams, so pivoting off players who will be playing 2-3 quarters because they'll be rostered heavily isn't very wise.
When stacking, be mindful of which players will be on the field at the same time. A second-unit wide receiver probably won't be on the field with the QB4 who ends the game. Keep your stacks to the level of the depth chart.
Limit your stacks to mostly two-man stacks. There often isn't enough playing time for a quarterback to support multiple pass-catchers. Obviously, if there is a unit set to get a large portion of playing time, you can stack more than one pass-catcher, but with only a quarter or two to rack up fantasy points, large stacks can be -EV.

Note: This is NOT an exhaustive list of all the viable plays for this slate. With so many players rotating in and out, it would be impossible to highlight everyone. This is a list of the players who, based on the research methods I listed above, I have identified to be playing well in camp and/or will be getting solid playing time during this slate. These plays are also not in any specific order.

Quarterbacks

Will Grier, Cowboys

The Cowboys are doing Greir a solid and allowing him to showcase his talents to entice suitors. With the trade of Trey Lance, he won't be on the Cowboys after this game. So he'll be able to sling it around in hopes of having another team sign him. As you're keenly aware, preseason DFS is more about playing time and less about the player. With Grier getting an entire game, he immediately has massive upside on this slate.

Pass-catchers to stack with Grier: Jalon Tolbert, Jalen Brooks, Kavontae Turpin

Trevor Lawrence, Jaguars

Doug Pederson iterated that the Jaguars starters will see significant time in this last preseason game. Maybe that's a quarter or a half. Either way, they should have enough snaps to smash on this slate. The Dolphins are also slated to play some starters so it will be good on good. When actual good players have the potential to play a half, we roster them.

Pass-catchers to stack with Lawrence: Calvin Ridley, Christian Kirk, Zay Jones, Evan Engram

Others: Stetson Bennett (Rams)