Week 12 NFL Player Props: Best Player Props to Bet from Connor Allen

Nov 24, 2023

Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

I hope everyone had a fantastic Thanksgiving! I know 4for4 betting subscribers did, going 5-2 on mine and Ryan Noonan’s player prop bets. Noonan went 2-1, and I went 3-1. We deserved a little bit of Holiday good luck after Week 11’s mishaps. We had some truly rough beats. The worst may have been Trevor Lawrence’s rushing prop. It was set at 14.5, and we got in on the under before reports came out about his lack of mobility. He had 1 rushing yard in the first half, and it looked like it was going to cash easily. Instead, Trevor played hero ball not once, but twice inside the 10-yard line against the Titans. On his last play prior to benching, he scrambled for a 5-yard touchdown, busting our under. Jaylen Warren outperformed Najee Harris by an immense amount, yet only received nine carries, one short of his carry prop of 9.5. It was nice to see Matt Canada be fired shortly after. We bet on Jordan Love’s completion prop of 36.5, and he had at least four completions of 25+ yards and one of exactly 36 yards. Sometimes, things just don’t go your way. We know that Denver struggles to guard tight ends, and Josh Dobbs has targeted his tight ends a TON so far this season in Arizona and Minnesota. If I told you that Viking's tight ends were targeted 11 times in this spot, what percent chance do you think Hockenson caught more than 5.5 of them? Josh Oliver saw four targets and caught all of them, while Hockenson saw the other seven and also only caught four of them. Brutal. Despite all of the outrageously close outcomes, we only finished down by a little over a unit. It was one of those weeks where if all of those games were re-played, we likely end up in the black way more often than not.

Before we dive into my Week 12 plays, we are running an insane sale of the betting subscription. It is only $19.99 for the rest of the year.

That includes everything at 4for4, including my props, Ryan Noonan’s tackle props, Sharp Clarke’s sides and totals, Scott Smith and MJ’s MMA/UFC plays, Kevin O’Brien and Rick Camp’s NBA bets, and so much more all the way through the Super Bowl. I’m coming off my third straight winning season and am up a touch over 12 units this season despite having some negative variance the past few weeks. There is no better time to get a subscription and come hang out in the discord.

We have a WIDE range of subscribers in our discord, and everyone is welcome. We have first-time bettors still learning verbiage, optimal betting strategy, bankroll management, etc., yet also have professionals betting thousands a pop. There is a place for everyone here.

If you have any questions, feel free to shoot me a DM on Twitter (@ConnorAllenNFL).