Wild Card Sunday Single-Game NFL DFS: Packers and Cowboys Top FanDuel & DraftKings Plays
Welcome to the Wild Card Sunday showdown snapshot for an exciting clash between the Packers and Cowboys. Green Bay heads to Dallas to face the NFC East champion Cowboys, who haven’t lost a game at home all season. The Packers have shown remarkable resilience of late, winning six of their last eight, with the catalyst undoubtedly being the improved play of Jordan Love, who has hit his stride at the end of his first year as a starter.
The Cowboys won seven of their last nine games, including key wins against Detroit and Philadelphia in the process. Both teams enter the playoffs relatively healthy, with only A.J. Dillon a question mark for the Packers, who should also get back wideout Christian Watson. The Cowboys expect star guard Tyler Smith and cornerback Stephon Gillmore to be active despite battling through injuries. Let’s dig into the top strategies and key plays for this exciting single-game slate.
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Game Environment
This chart represents the general offensive strategies for each team when the game outcome is still in question (win probability between 20% and 80%). The final two minutes of each half are also excluded. We’ll include last year’s statistics through Week 4 of the regular season. Teams in the upper-right quadrant pass more often and play faster than the average NFL team in neutral game scripts, and conversely, teams in the lower-left quadrant play slower and run more often than the average NFL team.
Packers (21.5) @ Cowboys (29); Over/Under 50.5
Quarterback Analysis
While there may be 22 people on the field for every play, each play and game is heavily dictated by the performance of each team’s quarterback. While efficiency isn’t everything for quarterbacks, it is the best indicator of future performance, so we use a trio of metrics to suss out top performers at the position compared to lackluster ones. xDrive Success %, or True Drive Success Rate, is a measurement of a QB’s ability to turn drives into scores weighted by sample size. EPA or Expected Points Added, is a measurement of the QB’s contribution, both running and throwing, to the team’s scoring and production vs. the average NFL team. Completion % over Expected (CPOE)represents the accuracy and efficiency of a QB’s passes compared to league expectations.
Core Plays and Auxiliary Options
- DFS & Season-Long Content
- Lineup Generator
- Optimal Cash & GPP Lineups
- Floor & Ceiling Projections
- -Leverage Scores
- -...and much much more!
