Fantasy Football WR PP1D Draft Rankings

Last update . Sep 05 . 06:50 PM EDT


#	Player	TM	BYE	FF Pts	ADP12	ADP10	GC	DIF	Rec	RecYdsReceiving	RecTD	Rec1D	RuAtt	RuYdsRushing	RuTD	Ru1D	Fum
1	CeeDee Lamb Draft Note CeeDee Lamb finished as the fantasy WR1 last year though he was second (to Tyreek Hill) in per-game scoring. He was the WR6 with the eighth-highest per-game average in 2022. Lamb is entering his age-25 season and should have another huge year as his environment (role, quarterback, play-caller) are all unchanged. The only concern is his contract situation but the Cowboys should be able to sort that out by training camp.	DAL	7	319	1.02	1.02	1	0	119	1563	10.9	76.4	14	115	1.1	4.8	1
2	Tyreek Hill Draft Note Last season, Tyreek Hill finished as the fantasy WR2, though he had the highest per-game average (19.9 fantasy points per game) at his position. He was the fantasy WR2 in 2022 as well, and had the third-highest per-game average. He’s entering his age-30 season, which is his ninth-season in the league. According to Ryan Heath’s excellent Age Curves study, receivers see a slight decline in production in their ninth season before a much bigger drop in their 10th year. I’m not worried about Hill’s age at all, other than the tendency for older players to come down with nagging injuries more frequently than their younger counterparts. He’s a rock-sold WR1.	MIA	6	304	1.03	1.03	2	0	111	1603	11.5	75.2	3	11	0.0	0.5	1
3	Amon-Ra St. Brown Draft Note Amon-Ra St. Brown finished as the fantasy WR3 with the fourth-highest per-game average at his position. He was the fantasy WR8 the year before with the 10th-highest per-game production. As he enters his fourth season his stock is as high as ever. His environment (i.e. quarterback, role, play-caller) are all unchanged, so I’m expecting another monster year from the “Sun God.”	DET	5	264	1.07	1.07	4	1	107	1384	9.4	67.9	4	23	0.0	1.0	1
4	Justin Jefferson Draft Note Justin Jefferson missed several games with a bad hamstring injury, so he finished as the WR38, but had the fifth-best per-game average. When his injury game (71% snaps) and his first game back (18% snaps) are removed, he averaged 20.0 fantasy points in eight full games, and the last four of those games–7-84, 6-141-1, 5-59, and 12-192-1–were without Kirk Cousins. That’s important since Cousins is now in Atlanta and Jefferson will be catching passes from Sam Darnold and/or J.J. McCarthy. The vast majority of those Week 15 to Week 18 targets were from the capable Nick Mullens (9.1 yards per attempt, 5.2% touchdown rate), so it makes sense that Jefferson’s numbers didn’t dip much when Cousins was out of the picture. He averaged 8.3-136-0.75 on 11.8 targets per game in four games with Cousins and 7.5-119-0.50 on 11.0 targets in four games without Cousins. Either way, he was posting overall WR1-WR3 type numbers with or without Cousins. Jefferson was the overall WR1 in 2022, so there’s upside with him if he’s going off the board WR3 or WR4. The issue is that unlike the other receivers going in the top six, he’s undergoing a quarterback change. The Vikings do have two decent options in Darnold and McCarthy, so if one isn’t getting it done, the other might. There’s a bit of risk here, but Jefferson should have a high-end WR1 season regardless of Cousins’ departure.	MIN	6	241	1.08	1.08	5	1	95	1410	6.0	65.3	0	0	0.0	0	1
5	A.J. Brown Draft Note A.J. Brown finished the 2023 season as the fantasy WR5 with the eighth-highest per-game average. He was the WR4 the year before and had the seventh-highest per-game average, so he has a recent history of midrange to high-end WR1 production. His environment is largely unchanged, though the Eagles hired Kellen Moore to run the offense. Moore’s offenses have finished in the top half of the league in passing yardage in each of his five seasons as offensive coordinator. Brown should once again post solid WR1 numbers.	PHI	5	230	1.09	1.09	6	1	91	1294	6.8	60.9	0	0	0.0	0	1
6	Ja'Marr Chase Draft Note Ja’Marr Chase missed several games in 2022, but finished with the fifth-highest per-game average. Last season, he was the fantasy WR10 and had the 11th-highest per-game average. Joe Burrow missed seven games, and Chase averaged 15.4 fantasy points with Burrow versus just 9.8 fantasy points without him. Over the last three seasons, Chase has averaged 16.1 fantasy points with Burrow at quarterback, which is great, but it’s not top-three WR great. His WR3 ADP is a little aggressive given his history as a producer, though there are worse ideas than betting on a 24-year-old receiver with 3,700+ yards and 29 touchdowns in three seasons.	CIN	12	225	1.06	1.06	3	-3	91	1201	7.7	58.6	2	8	0.0	0.3	1
7	Garrett Wilson Draft Note After Aaron Rodgers tore his Achilles on his first pass attempt of the season, it was clear that Garrett Wilson would be in for a tough season. He finished as the fantasy WR30 after a WR22 finish as a rookie in 2022. Since 2010, among receivers in their first two seasons, Wilson ranked seventh in receptions and 14th in receiving yards. In his last two seasons in Green Bay, Rodgers’ receivers averaged 1.41 (half-PPR) fantasy points per target, which is 45% higher than the 0.97 fantasy points per target offered by the Jets’ quarterbacks last season. Simply applying 1.41 fantasy points per target to Wilson’s 168 targets last season would yield roughly 237 fantasy points, or about what A.J. Brown scored as last year’s fantasy WR5. Matt Harmon’s charting of WIlson’s second season at Reception Perception supports the prospect of a breakout third year. Harmon called Wilson “the CeeDee Lamb of last summer” and says the “hype is real.” I don’t think Wilson’s WR8 ADP is much of a reach at all.	NYJ	12	212	1.11	2.01	7	0	89	1156	6.8	56.6	0	0	0.0	0	1
8	Brandon Aiyuk Draft Note Brandon Aiyuk was highly-efficient again in 2023, turning the 29th-most targets into the 12th-most fantasy points. He was the fantasy WR15 in 2022, so he has a recent history of consistent low-end WR1/high-end WR2 type numbers. Aiyuk got the very rare “all green” chart from Matt Harmon at Reception Perception meaning that he’s one of the “truly elite” receivers (Harmon’s words) in the league. Even if his usage isn’t as high as we’d like, he enjoys good quarterback play and highly-efficient play-calling. Now that he’s signed his extension, it’s all systems go for this young star.	SF	9	211	3.09	4.03	18	10	69	1153	7.7	51.0	0	0	0.0	0	1
9	Marvin Harrison Jr. Draft Note With Marquise Brown and Rondale Moore gone, the Cardinals have the fifth-most vacated targets (217) and Harrison will soak up most of them. He's landing in a fantastic situation from an opportunity and quarterback standpoint and will immediately be in the fantasy WR2 mix with upside from there. Matt Harmon compared Harrison’s profile to Ja’Marr Chase coming out of college and added that Harrison “easily was one of the best prospects” he has charted for Reception Perception.	ARI	11	211	2.03	2.05	9	0	88	1150	6.8	56.3	0	0	0.0	0	1
10	Deebo Samuel Draft Note Deebo Samuel finished as the fantasy WR9 but was tied with Mike Evans with the sixth-highest per-game average. He had the 21st-highest per-game average the year before. Like his teammate, Brandon Aiyuk, the primary concern with Samuel is his low usage–he was 42nd in WR targets last season–so he has to be incredibly efficient to keep up his WR1-type production. Thankfully he has a highly-efficient quarterback in Brock Purdy, and plays in a highly-efficient offense run by Kyle Shanahan. He’s a high-end WR2 this year.	SF	9	210	3.04	3.08	14	4	62	877	5.2	41.4	38	216	3.5	9.0	1

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Who has the best Points Per First Down rankings?

4for4 equips you with the tools to dominate any scoring format. Their rankings are renowned for accuracy and consistency, a fact underscored by John Paulsen's multiple "Most Accurate Expert" awards and consistent top finishes.

But 4for4 goes beyond accolades. They leverage cutting-edge analytics, factoring in offensive tendencies, strength of schedule, and player talent, specifically for PPFD scoring. This data-driven approach translates into measurable, objective rankings you can rely on to maximize your first-down advantage. Don't settle for generic rankings in a PPFD league – leverage 4for4's expertise and outscore your competition week after week.

What is the best draft position in Points Per First Down drafts?

While there isn't a single "magic" draft position in point-per-first-down (PPFD) leagues, aiming for the top half of the first round can give you a strong foundation. Securing a workhorse back who excels at churning out yards and catching passes is still a great strategy. Think dual-threat back like Christian McCaffrey, who racks up first downs consistently, or a high-volume wideout like Tyreek Hill or CeeDee Lamb. Drafting at the back end of the draft can also be helpful to be able to select two higher-volume players back to back.

What is the best draft strategy for Points Per First Down drafts?

Conquer your PPFD league with a strategy that prioritizes first-down machines! Early rounds should focus on securing a consistent running back who excels at churning out yards and catching passes. Think dual-threat backs like Christian McCaffrey or receiving threats like Alvin Kamara. Don't forget quarterbacks who lead high-volume passing attacks. Guys like Josh Allen or Jalen Hurts can rack up first downs through the ground and air.

The beauty of PPFD? Opportunity beyond the usual suspects. Mid-to-late rounds can be a goldmine for wide receivers who see a steady stream of targets in pass-happy offenses. Think Diontae Johnson or George Pickens. Even tight ends like George Kiltte can be valuable with their high catch rates. Remember, volume is king in PPFD. Don't be afraid to target players who might not be the flashiest scorers in standard leagues, but consistently move the chains for their teams. By focusing on consistent first-down producers across all positions, you'll be well on your way to dominating your PPFD draft.

What is Points Per First Down ADP?

In point-per-first-down (PPFD) leagues, ADP (Average Draft Position) reveals the average round where fantasy managers are targeting players who consistently move the chains. Tracking PPFD ADP trends can help you predict when your first-down machines might be off the board, allowing you to strategize your picks and snag hidden gems before they're gone. It's basically a sneak peek into the minds of your fellow drafters, giving you a critical edge on draft day, especially since PPFD scoring can alter player values compared to standard leagues.

Who has the most accurate Points Per First Down rankings?

Conquering a PPFD league requires a data-driven approach, and 4for4 provides the tools you need to dominate. Their track record speaks for itself: John Paulsen's accolades – multiple "Most Accurate Expert" awards and consistent top finishes – are a testament to their expertise.

But 4for4 goes beyond recognition. They wield cutting-edge analytics specifically tailored for PPFD scoring. Offensive tendencies, strength of schedule, and player talent are all factored in to create their renowned rankings. This translates to measurable, objective results you can trust to maximize your first-down advantage. Don't settle for generic rankings in a PPFD league. Leverage 4for4's expertise on point-per-first-down and outscore your competition all season long.

What is the best first-round pick in Points Per First Down Drafts?

The ideal first-round pick in a PPFD draft depends on your risk tolerance. Here are two approaches to consider:

The Safe Choice: Go for a proven workhorse running back like Christian McCaffrey or an elite receiver like CeeDee Lamb. These guys are first-down machines, churning out yards and catching passes consistently. While this strategy offers a solid foundation, it might not be the most exciting.

The High-Reward Gamble: Target a young, explosive wide receiver with a sky-high target projection in a pass-happy offense. Think of someone like Ja'Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson. These players have the potential for massive first-down production but also carry a higher risk of inconsistency.

Ultimately, the best choice comes down to personal preference and draft board dynamics. Analyze ADP trends (if available) to see how these players are valued and draft the player who best fits your overall strategy. Remember, the key is maximizing first-down production, so be flexible and don't be afraid to break the mold if the opportunity arises.