Fantasy Football QB Sleeper Draft Rankings

Last update . Sep 05, 2024 . 06:50 PM EDT


#	Player	TM	BYE	FF Pts	ADP12	ADP10	GC	DIF	Comp	Att	PaYdsPassing	PaTD	INT	Pa1D	RuAtt	RuYdsRushing	RuTD	Ru1D	Fum
1	Jalen Hurts Draft Note Jalen Hurts finished as the QB2 (behind Josh Allen) in 2023 after finishing as the QB3 (behind Patrick Mahomes and Allen) the year before, though he had the highest per-game average (26.4) in 2022. A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert all return, and Saquon Barkley replaces D’Andre Swift at running back. There’s an argument that Barkley could eat into Hurts’s rushing touchdowns, but with 10, 13, and 15 rushing touchdowns for Hurts in the last three years, that doesn’t seem likely. He’s still their best option at the goal line.	PHI	5	348	3.07	4.01	2	1	331	500	3841	23.6	12.1	185.5	136	576	12.1	37.5	3
2	Josh Allen Draft Note Josh Allen finished as the QB1 last year after finishing QB2 in 2022. He’s currently the first quarterback off the board, which is a bit surprising since he’s lost both Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis this offseason. They have been replaced by Curtis Samuel and second-round pick Keon Coleman, so it looks like a downgrade in the receiver room. The other variable is Joe Brady as offensive coordinator. In nine games under Brady (including two playoff games), Allen averaged 233 yards and 1.56 touchdowns, with 47 yards and 1.22 touchdowns as a runner. This works out to 26.8 fantasy points per game thanks to those eye-popping rushing numbers. His averages in the first 10 weeks under Ken Dorsey: 260 yards and 1.90 touchdowns, with 25 yards and 0.70 touchdowns as a runner. That works out to 22.5 fantasy points per game. Under Brady, his rush attempts were 9.2 per game compared to 4.8 per game under Dorsey, so it’s clear that his rushing floor is pretty high heading into 2024.	BUF	12	345	3.03	3.07	1	-1	331	507	3881	28.1	16.0	186.9	120	539	10.2	35.1	3
3	Patrick Mahomes Draft Note After a QB1 finish in 2022–his first season WITHOUT Tyreek Hill–Patrick Mahomes had a disappointing QB7 finish last year. It was actually a bit worse than that as he had just the 14th-highest per-game average at his position. Obviously, the Chiefs went on to win their second consecutive Super Bowl, but his fantasy managers probably felt a bit jilted as Mahomes posted four-year lows in passing yards, touchdowns, and rushing touchdowns. It remains to be seen if this is a blip in his career or the start of a trend, but the Chiefs did try to shore up the receiving corps, replacing Marquez Valdes-Scantling with the productive Hollywood Brown and the speedy Xavier Worthy. Rashee Rice is facing some offseason trouble, but the Chiefs now have appealing depth in the receiver room. Mahomes should bounce back with a top-five season.	KC	6	318	3.08	4.02	3	0	394	590	4378	32.8	14.0	213.8	77	375	1.4	24.4	3
4	Lamar Jackson Draft Note Lamar Jackson finished as the fantasy QB3 in 2023 and had the third-highest per-game average. He missed some time in both 2021 and 2022, but had the eighth-highest and the fifth-highest per-game averages, respectively. His best season was back in 2019 when he finished as the QB1. Odell Beckham has moved on, but the Ravens are expecting Rashod Bateman to pick up the slack. HC John Harbaugh singled Bateman out as a player he expects to make a leap in 2024. Jackson should be a rock-solid top-five option at the position, but appears to lack the rushing touchdown upside with only 10 rushing scores in the last three seasons. Derrick Henry is now in the fold, so the Ravens don’t have much incentive to expose the 215-lb Jackson around the goal line.	BAL	14	316	4.06	5.02	4	0	294	442	3454	24.6	9.8	166.2	141	798	4.2	52.0	3
5	C.J. Stroud Draft Note As a rookie, C.J. Stroud finished as the fantasy QB12, though he missed a couple of games. It was the ninth-best fantasy performance by a rookie quarterback since 2000. Stroud’s 4,108 yards were the third-highest by a rookie in that span and his 23 touchdowns tie for fifth-highest. Stroud is primed for another starter-caliber season, though they lost a good pass-blocker in tackle George Fant, who was replaced by second-round draft pick Blake Fisher. Stefon Diggs joins breakout stars Nico Collins and Tank Dell in the receiver room, so Stroud has plenty of weapons to throw to. He may be able to crack the top five.	HOU	14	313	5.04	6.02	6	1	339	518	4466	28.0	7.0	209.1	41	182	4.0	11.8	3
6	Anthony Richardson Draft Note The rookie only played two full games and was knocked out of two other games before halftime, but he still showed flashes of fantasy superstardom accounting for seven touchdowns in roughly 2.6 games worth of action. He posted the highest fantasy point per attempt (passing + rushing) in the league. The Colts re-signed Michael Pittman and drafted another weapon, Adonai Mitchell, and should have a healthy Jonathan Taylor in tow. Only time will tell if Richardson is more of an injury risk than other quarterbacks, but studies have shown that mobile quarterbacks aren’t injured at a higher rate than “pocket” quarterbacks.	IND	14	311	5.06	6.04	5	-1	307	516	3525	19.6	7.7	170.7	114	560	9.7	36.5	3
7	Kyler Murray Draft Note Kyler Murray sat out the first nine games after tearing his ACL late in the 2023 season. From Week 10 to Week 17, he was the fantasy QB10. That mirrored the QB8 production he provided in the 10 games prior to his injury in 2022. He was the QB10 in 2021 but had the fourth-highest per-game average that year. Hollywood Brown has been replaced by Marvin Harrison Jr., which looks like an upgrade. Murray also has other competent weapons like Trey McBride, Michael Wilson, and Greg Dortch. Murray’s rushing was down a little when compared to pre-injury 2022, and he should be fully healthy heading into the 2024 season. He’s a solid QB1.	ARI	11	302	6.06	7.06	7	0	330	497	3778	22.4	10.3	183.1	90	532	5.9	34.6	3
8	Dak Prescott Draft Note Last season, Dak Prescott finished as the fantasy QB4 and had the fifth-highest per-game average. He missed some time in 2022, but had the 13th-highest per-game average, and he was the QB9 in 2021. So he has a long history of starter-level numbers. The Cowboys return most of Prescott’s weapons, losing Tony Pollard and Michael Gallup to free agency. The key receivers–breakout star CeeDee Lamb, Brandin Cooks, and Jake Ferguson–are all back. Dallas lost some talent along the offensive line, but they used premium draft capital to shore up the unit. Prescott should have another solid season.	DAL	7	300	6.10	7.10	9	1	374	553	4293	33.4	15.1	207.9	49	221	1.4	14.4	3
9	Joe Burrow Draft Note Joe Burrow was the QB17 through 10 weeks, before he suffered a season-ending wrist injury in Week 11. After a very rough start–Burrow was the QB31 through the first four weeks!–he settled in and was the QB6 from Week 5 to Week 10. This production was more in line with his QB4 finish in 2022 and his QB6 finish in 2021. We can probably write off those early-season struggles as an aberration. The Bengals lost Tyler Boyd in free agency, but added the talented Jermaine Burton in the Draft. At tight end, they replaced Irv Smith with Mike Gesicki, who will join mini-breakout Tanner Hudson and Drew Sample in the tight end room. Burrow should post solid QB1-type numbers in 2024.	CIN	12	295	6.07	7.07	8	-1	387	573	4170	29.6	12.2	205.3	80	255	2.6	16.6	3
10	Jordan Love Draft Note Jordan Love was the fantasy QB15 through the first nine weeks, which wasn’t a bad start considering he was the QB26 in 2023 ADP. From Week 10 to Week 17, he was the fantasy QB2 behind only Dak Prescott. He finished with 4,159 yards and 32 touchdowns, adding a solid 247 yards and four touchdowns as a runner. That made him the QB5 in fantasy and the best draft day value at his position. While his receiving corps lacks star power, it is arguably the deepest receiver room in the league, with Christian Watson, Jayden Reed, Romeo Doubs, Dontayvion Wicks, and Bo Melton providing timely and productive play whenever called upon. Love also has a couple of talented young tight ends in Luke Musgrave and Tucker Kraft. As this group grows together, Love is a good bet for another top-10 finish and has proven top-five upside.	GB	10	295	7.04	8.06	10	0	345	544	3841	31.0	11.0	187.5	45	248	3.3	16.1	3

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Who has the best Sleeper rankings?

4for4 has proven to be highly consistent in both their preseason and in-season rankings, which is key for success in fantasy football. John Paulsen, 4for4’s Director of Forecasting was named the Most Accurate Fantasy Football Expert by FantasyPros in both 2010 and 2014 and was the runner-up in 2011 and 2019. In 2012, 2015, 2017, and 2020 he finished among the top four rankers.

The forecasting process at 4for4 places emphasis on teams’ offensive tendencies, strength of schedule, and athlete talent via predictive modeling. This allows the rankings to effectively deliver fantasy football results that are measurable, objective, and consistently replicated, and 4for4’s historical success in accuracy confirms that they’re good at what they do.

What is the best draft position in Sleeper drafts?

Sleeper’s default scoring is PPR and the best draft position is often within the top three picks. This allows you to secure an elite dual-threat running back or a high-volume wide receiver. The middle to late-round positions can also be beneficial, as they offer flexibility to draft top-tier wide receivers and other valuable players, creating a balanced roster.

What is the best draft strategy in Sleeper drafts?

The default scoring for Sleeper drafts is PPR, so you want to prioritize players who are heavily involved in the passing game. Focus on securing a top-tier running back and wide receiver early. Mid-rounds should be used to add depth at these positions, and don’t forget to pick a reliable tight end. Balance your team with high-upside and consistent players to ensure steady scoring.

What is Sleeper ADP?

ADP, or Average Draft Position, indicates the average spot where players are being selected in drafts. Sleeper uses PPR scoring so tracking ADP focused on receiving contributions helps you anticipate when players will be available and strategize your picks effectively, maximizing value.

Who has the most accurate Sleeper rankings?

Look no further for rankings accuracy than 4for4. FantasyPros recognized 4for4’s Director of Forecasting, John Paulsen, as the Most Accurate Fantasy Football Expert in both 2010 and 2014, with runner-up finishes in 2011 and 2019. In 2012, 2015, 2017, and 2020 he also finished inside the top four.

4for4's forecasting uses a data-driven model that considers offensive schemes, upcoming matchups, and player talent. This translates to rankings you can trust, built on measurable data and objective analysis. Their historical success speaks for itself - 4for4 is the resource you need to dominate your Sleeper league.

What is the best first-round pick in Sleeper Drafts?

Sleeper’s PPR format rewards receptions heavily, making elite running backs like Christian McCaffrey even more valuable. His dual-threat ability combined with high-volume touches creates a huge floor and potential for explosive weeks. Wide receivers like CeeDee Lamb also become fantasy gold. PPR formats elevate consistent target hogs who rack up receptions, putting them in contention for the top pick in your Sleeper draft.