Week 11 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Candidates: Wide Receivers
Wondering whom to start and sit at wide receiver this week? Below are two top-notch start and two sit options at the wide receiver position for Week 11 of the 2022 NFL season.
Week 10 Review – half-PPR scoring
Starts
- WR Terrace Marshall (Carolina Panthers) vs. Atlanta Falcons – 4.8 fantasy points (WR66)
- WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (Kansas City Chiefs) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars – 4.3 fantasy points (WR69 - concussion)
Sits
- WR Adam Thielen (Minnesota Vikings) @ Buffalo Bills – 7.4 fantasy points (WR48)
- WR Allen Lazard (Green Bay Packers) vs. Dallas Cowboys – 6.0 fantasy points (T-WR55)
Wide Receiver – Starts
Christian Watson (Green Bay Packers) vs. Tennessee Titans
The Green Bay Packers have found their No. 1 wide receiver. Early-second-round pick Christian Watson, finally healthy for the first time since Week 5, exploded in Week 10, catching four-of-eight targets for 107 yards and three touchdowns.
Among NFL wide receivers with at least five targets in Week 10, Watson’s 38.0% targets per route run rate were tied for No. 1 and his outrageous 5.1 yards per route run paced the field by 1.0 yards, per 4for4’s NFL Player Stats Explorer. Watson’s 1.1 weighted opportunity rating led the position by 0.3. All three rates indicate real deal target-earning ability and receiving efficiency.
Watson was listed on Monday’s injury report with an ankle injury but practiced in full on Tuesday.
The Tennessee Titans, Green Bay’s Week 11 opponent, is the second-most friendly defense in both half-PPR points allowed to opposing wide receivers per game (33.0), per 4for4’s Schedule-Adjust Fantasy Points Allowed, and passing yards allowed per game (272.8), per 4for4's NFL Team Stats Explorer.
Nico Collins (Houston Texans) vs. Washington Commanders
Houston Texans second-year X-wide receiver Nico Collins (groin) has logged a 27.0% targets per route run rate, while averaging 6.5 targets per game, in his two healthy games since Houston’s Week 6 bye. The figures are both No. 1 among Houston pass catchers with at least 10 targets during that span.
Collins gets the Washington Commanders’ friendly pass defense in Week 11. The unit is allowing 30.8 half-PPR points per game to opposing wide receivers, the fourth most in the NFL, and their 8.9% explosive pass plays allowed rate, the ninth most in the NFL enhances Collins’ opportunity to rip off chunk gains.
Demarcus Robinson (Baltimore Ravens) vs. Carolina Panthers
Ravens No. 1 wide receiver Rashod Bateman (foot) was in and out of the lineup over Baltimore’s last four games before eventually being placed on injured Reserve. Journeyman Demarcus Robinson has handled Bateman’s role whenever able, operating as a near-full-time perimeter receiver since Week 6. Robinson’s 9.6-yard average depth of target (aDot) during that span is almost a one-for-one copy of Bateman’s 9.5 aDot during that span.
Among eight Baltimore pass catchers have earned at least five targets since Week 6, Robinson’s 27.0% targets per route rate trails only tight end Mark Andrews’ 31.0%. Andrews’ Week 11 status is entirely up in the air though. Before Baltimore’s Week 10 bye, Andrews may have been dealing with shoulder, MCL, and high-ankle sprain injuries. Head coach John Harbaugh has been cagey with injury information both pre- and post-bye but at least acknowledged that Andrews is still working through the shoulder issue.
Robinson is primed for a helpful outing against fantasy’s eighth-most friendly defense to opposing wide receivers (29.5 half-PPR points allowed per game).
Wide Receiver – Sits
K.J. Osborn (Minnesota Vikings) vs. Dallas Cowboys
Through two games with tight end T.J. Hockenson on the roster, Minnesota Vikings wide receiver K.J. Osborn earned two targets in Week 9 and 11 targets in Week 10, finishing with a four-catch, 35-yard grand total.
Osborn’s stock is likely to rise after his 22.0% targets per route run rate in Week 10’s most exciting game, but his 0.69 yards per route rate is a full 1.00-yards less than minimally desirable. The coaching staff is unlikely to funnel targets Osborn’s way after the lackluster showing.
Minnesota’s Week 11 opponent, the Dallas Cowboys, is one of the league’s four toughest teams in both passing yards per game (181.9) and explosive pass plays allowed rate (6.3%). Their 26.8 half-PPR points per game allowed to opposing wide receivers is near the middle of the pack.
