2022 Fantasy Upside
Justin Fields showed promise in the back half of his rookie season with the Bears. He especially displayed his abilities as a runner as the season progressed. In his final seven starts, Fields averaged 7.4 attempts for 51.6 yards per game, which extrapolated over the course of a full season would be 877 rush yards. He also improved as a passer as the season went on, averaging 222 pass yards in his final six games (where he played the full game). The Bears also lost Andy Dalton in the offseason, so there’s no longer a threat of a veteran QB replacing Fields. Next up on the depth chart is Trevor Siemian, who doesn’t pose a real threat to Fields. Fields will be the starter as he enters his sophomore season. A lot of quarterbacks are able to improve as they enter Year 2, and there’s a chance we see better play from Fields in 2022.
2022 Fantasy Downside
The obvious downside to Fields this season is the departure of Allen Robinson, and the lack of supporting cast around him. The Bears have just one WR ranked in our top 80 projections (Darnell Mooney), and even tight end Cole Kmet hasn’t shown much promise with just three games above 50 yards receiving in two years. Even with a better supporting cast a year ago, Fields struggled as a passer, averaging 180 pass yards in his 10 starts with a 7-to-14 TD-to-turnover ratio. The Bears’ offensive line is also a cause of concern, with 4for4’s Justin Edwards ranking them dead last in the league.
2022 Bottom Line
Fields is a talented quarterback, and his rushing ability is a major bonus, but there are some major downsides that make the Bears QB a risky option this season. If Fields was in a different system, he could potentially push being a Top 10 option. But the lack of supporting cast, including a weak WR corps and poor offensive line, are legitimate concerns when it comes to projecting Fields’ production. Fields should be viewed around the QB20 range. He’s not someone you want to rely on every week as a starter, but he could be a streaming option in favorable matchups on a given week.