TL;DR Week 14
4for4 Illustrations
It's no secret we produce a ton of weekly data-driven, actionable fantasy football content designed to help you win your weekly matchup or cash your DFS lineups and bets. We also know not everybody has the time to read thousands upon thousands of words every week. With that in mind, this weekly TL;DR column is meant to highlight a few can't miss stats, facts, or analyses, broken down by category (season-long, DFS, betting), to aid in your weekly research prep.
TL;DR Season-Long Week 14
- In Week 13, a game Kenyan Drake only played on 12% of snaps, Josh Jacobs had a season-high 85% snap rate, 71.4% routes run per dropback rate, and 10 High-Value Touches. (Full Article)
- Russell Gage has produced three usable fantasy lines in the last three games, posting 5-49 (8), 6-62-1 (7) and 11-130 (12). (Full Article)
- Carolina's defense is seventh in points allowed and second in yardage allowed, all while pressuring opposing quarterbacks on 46.2% of their dropbacks, the third-highest rate in the league. (Full Article)
- Devonta Freeman is seeing 60% to 80% of the Ravens' running back rushes, he captured a 20% team target share in Week 13, and is dominating goal-line usage as well. (Full Article)
All Week 14 Season-Long Content.
TL;DR DFS Week 14
- Over the last five weeks, Jerry Jeudy has led the Denver receiving group in target share (22.6%) and has been near Tim Patrick for the lead in market share of air yards. (Full Article)
- Chris Godwin and Mike Evans have both averaged over 8.5 targets per game in the last three games. While Godwin leads the team in target share in that span, Evans has the edge in air yards and expected touchdowns. All this is made possible by Tampa Bay’s league-leading 69% passing rate in neutral situations over the last six weeks. (Full Article)
- Antonio Gibson has averaged about 27 opportunities per game since Washington's Week 9 bye, with or without J.D. McKissic in the lineup. The Cowboys are somewhat of a pass-funnel defense, but with only Terry McLaurin as a threat on the outside, I'd expect them to play to their strengths and run the ball. (Full Article)
- D.J. Moore faces a Falcons defense ranked 31st in points allowed per play, and 25th in aFPA to opposing wideouts. (Full Article)
TL;DR Betting Week 14
- Since returning from injury in Week 10, Russell Wilson also has the fifth-worst QBR in the NFL (27.7), which is his worst over any four-game stretch in his career. (Full Article)
- The Giants average only 17.6 points per game on the season, and with their carousel of quarterbacks spinning from Daniel Jones to Mike Glennon and now Jake Fromm, there shouldn’t be much incentive for the Chargers offense to put the pedal to the metal to keep up. (Full Article)
- Tampa Bay has the fourth-most passing attempts against them this year and a matchup that currently has the highest over/under on the slate should create plenty of opportunities for Stefon Diggs to have a big game. (Full Article)
- Baltimore has fallen short of 20 points in four straight games, one of which was a Tyler Huntley start, but this is the first time since 2005 Baltimore has failed to top 20 points in four consecutive games. (Full Article)