Week 5 NFL Betting Picks: Player Props

Oct 10, 2020

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Week 4 Recap: Our record came back down to earth last week but we made money nonetheless. We suffered a quick loss with Austin Ekeler being ruled out for the game early on. Kenyan Drake has now busted against two of the easiest run defenses in the league so It might be wise to avoid him for the foreseeable future. Alvin Kamara somehow only received four targets and fell short of his gaudy receiving line. Dwayne Haskins avoided benching during the game despite the Washington Football Team trailing by a substantial amount for the entire game. He has now been benched heading into Week 5 after hitting the over on his prop total, which feels like an extra punch in the gut after the fact. Anthony Miller’s props were insanely low at just 26 yards which, after seeing five targets, still seemed like something he should have gone over. Devin Singletary had 45 yards going into the fourth quarter but couldn’t muster another 13 in the final quarter. Everything else went according to plan as we ripped off 11 wins for another 3.22 units on the week.

I’ll say it pretty much every week but if you aren’t already in the Discord chat you are missing out on easy wins as well as all my island game plays. Every Thursday and Friday I post any opening lines that jump out to me for Sunday, and the past three weeks every single one has moved by a lot. Two weeks ago was Josh Jacobs under 95.5 rushing yards (opened at 70.5 on DK), last week it was Hunter Renfrow over 48.5 receiving yards (opened at 60.5 on DK), and this week it was James Conner over 59.5 rushing yards. With a win already in the bag on Thursday Night (Ronald Jones under 23.5 receiving yards), let us dive into Week 5…

Week 5 DraftKings Player Props

Dontrelle Inman Under 35.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Inman has gone under this number in 3-of-4 games to start the season. The Washington Football Team also made a mid-week quarterback change, turning to career backup Kyle Allen. The matchup for Washington'ss passing game won’t be easy as the Rams pass defense ranks seventh in Pass DVOA and sixth in explosive pass rate allowed. We have Inman projected for 25.5 receiving yards in this one, and I would play this down to 32 receiving yards.

Risk: 1.12 units to win 1 unit