2024 NFL Draft: Live Fantasy Tracker (Rounds 2-3)
The 2024 NFL Draft began last night. The second and third rounds will be held today (Friday) while the remainder of the draft will finish up on Saturday (12 p.m. ET).
Throughout the second and third rounds, I'll be updating this page with player evaluations from the Rookie Draft Profiles produced by our partners over at Dynasty League Football. I'll also add evaluations from Matt Harmon (for receivers) and Derrick Klassen (for quarterbacks) from Matt's great site, Reception Perception. Finally, I'll add my own fantasy spin based on the player's opportunity, draft capital, landing spot, and athletic comparable (from Player Profiler or Mockdraftable).
Check out my recap of the first round here.
2.01 - Bills - WR Keon Coleman, Florida St.
DLF Dynasty Profile: In some drafts, Coleman would be good enough to be the top receiver taken. Unfortunately for him, he has the likes of Marvin Harrison Jr., Rome Odunze, and Malik Nabers all vying for homes in round one of the NFL Draft in a loaded receiver class. The numbers aren't going to blow you away (50/658/11) but the potential really should. He's 6'4" and 215 pounds but moves like a smaller slot receiver. Coleman impresses with his ability to win at the contested catch point and make people miss even with a massive frame. Coleman is a solid first-round prospect in any format and has the potential to be a star at the next level should he make good on his elite-level ability.
Harmon: “Overall, Keon Coleman is going to be a very team-specific player to project. There are certain coaching staffs I’d trust to see the vision for his NFL role as a power slot receiver and some I would not. A good handful of teams already have a player operating at this position, so they wouldn’t be good fits for Coleman. This is a prospect with clear weaknesses that will limit his deployment in the league but given the right positional framework, he possesses many enviable skills as a receiver to shine in the right role.”
Athletic Comparable: Allen Robinson
Opportunity: A+
Paulsen's Fantasy Impact: Harmon's charting doesn't indicate that Coleman is a star in the making, but I can't argue with his opportunity. The Bills have the second-most vacated targets (317) after losing both Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis, so Coleman will be deployed immediately as one of Josh Allen's go-to receivers. Most rookie receivers do not enjoy both a potential WR1 role and excellent quarterback play. Based on expected volume alone, Coleman should be in the WR3 mix.
2.02 - Chargers - WR Ladd McConkey, Georgia
DLF Dynasty Profile: McConkey entered the NFL Draft Scouting Combine as a player to watch but left as one of (if not THE) biggest risers coming out of Indianapolis. After posting a 4.39 40-yard dash and looking dominant in just about every drill, McConkey starting drawing comparisons to Puka Nacua as a receiver who was a little unheralded only to emerge late. While that needs to be taken with a grain of salt, McConkey is a fast riser who was successful in the SEC. He's easily one of this year's pre-draft risers and a pretty easy pick in the second round of rookie drafts.
Harmon: “The more I dove into McConkey’s profile and tried to find a comparison for him outside of the typical lazy ones you’ll see, I ended up landing on Seahawks wide receiver Tyler Lockett. The long-time NFL great is an excellent route runner who wins outside as a flanker and is both a possession and vertical threat from the slot. He separates at all three levels of the field and is a sterling technician. McConkey might not have the same tight coverage skills as Lockett but he’s certainly more enthralling after the catch. McConkey broke multiple tackles on a whopping 31.3% of his ‘in space’ attempts.”
Athletic Comparable: Percy Harvin
Opportunity: A+
Paulsen's Fantasy Impact: The Chargers lost both Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, so they check in with the most vacated targets (395) this year. Justin Herbert is a quality quarterback and McConkey is not only a great athlete but he's also a great route-runner, according to Harmon. This is a great fit and McConkey should see all the targets he can handle in his rookie season. He should be in the WR2/WR3 mix in fantasy drafts.
2.05 - Patriots - WR Ja'Lynn Polk, Washington
DLF Dynasty Profile: Polk teamed up with Rome Odunze and Jalen McMillan to form the nation's best wide receiver trio last season at the University of Washington. Together with Michael Penix Jr., they set the standard for passing offenses last season and Polk did his part by catching 69 passes for 1,159 yards with nine touchdowns. While the numbers are solid, there are questions about Polk and his true ability to separate. While he's been very productive, his quickness and speed are very much in question. He'll be a second-tier wideout in the minds of NFL Draft scouts but there's a lot to like here, as well. Polk is going to be a tough player to value as he'll likely be a mid-round prospect but also one who has proven to be very productive. If he can prove his lack of top-end speed isn't a hinderance at the next level, he could be a rookie draft steal.
Harmon: “Overall, there is just so much to like about Ja’Lynn Polk’s game. He’s a rugged and well-rounded wideout who should be able to work outside and in the slot. He sneaks up on you with his separation and can win in the critical intermediate areas. I see no reason he shouldn’t come off the board in Round 2 with so many offenses around the league, especially all the Shanahan tree acolytes, coveting a player just like this at the receiver position.”
Athletic Comparable: Romeo Doubs
Opportunity: B+
Paulsen's Fantasy Impact: Harmon likes Polk's route-running, and the rookie is landing in a pretty good spot. The Patriots' receiver room is lacking, so Polk will provide a much-needed boost and should see a sizable role right away. His quarterback play is to be determined, as fellow rookie Drake Maye is the likely starter. If Polk can earn a starting role, he'll be in the WR3/WR4 mix given the uncertainty of Maye's effectiveness.
2.14 - Panthers - RB Jonathon Brooks, Texas
DLF Dynasty Profile: It seems like every year brings us a blue-chip running back from Texas and Wisconsin (more on the Badgers later). This year's edition from the Longhorns is Brooks, who rushed for 1,139 yards and ten touchdowns on just 187 carries this past season after taking over for the departed Bijan Robinson, showing great agility and vision in the process. He's going to need to prove he's more than a one-hit wonder but he's shown an element of fluidity, strong balance, good hands, and the ability to break tackles consistently at the college level. He's also solid at selling play-action and looks the part of a true three-down back. Much like Trey Benson, he also should have a lot of room to grow and punishment to take at the next level based on his limited action in college. Brooks looks the part of a second-round pick but he could rise should he get drafted in the right situation.
Athletic Comparable: Tony Pollard
Opportunity: B+
Paulsen's Fantasy Impact: Brooks is coming off of a "clean" ACL tear (per Ian Rapoport) and should be ready to play in July. He should quickly beat out the solid-but-not-spectacular Chuba Hubbard and Miles Sanders to earn the RB1 job. His upside is capped by the Carolina offense which needs to take a big step forward if it's going to support a bona fide fantasy RB1. I expect his ADP will land in the fifth/sixth round.
2.20 - Colts - WR Adonai Mitchell, Texas
DLF Dynasty Profile: Mitchell's stats at Texas aren't going to blow anyone out of the water. Though his 11 touchdowns are impressive, the 55 catches and 845 receiving yards don't exactly jump off the page. However, dynasty managers need to look a lot deeper than that. He was overshadowed by fellow Longhorn Xavier Worthy and his NFL Draft Combine performance was simply electric as he posted an 11'4" broad jump, a 39.5" vertical and 4.35 40-yard dash. He's going to be in the mix to be the fourth or fifth receiver taken and has a massive upside in the NFL. At this point, MItchell looks the part of a late first-round pick in dynasty rookie drafts. His landing spot is going to be important but there's a lot to like here.
Harmon: “Overall, I liked AD Mitchell’s film way more than expected. He is a prototypical X-receiver who is a contested catch threat and can cleanly win against man and press coverage. If he is the type of receiver who is better maximized in the NFL than he was in college, that would be no shock at all given his positional archetype. Mitchell’s RP profile carries many of the same shades of George Pickens from a few classes back. However, with the way he runs routes with tempo, I do see some glimpses of a DeAndre Hopkins ceiling.”
Athletic Comparable: Mike Wallace
Opportunity: C+
Paulsen's Fantasy Impact: Mitchell will compete with Josh Downs and Alec Pierce for targets opposite Michael Pittman. The Colts are unlikely to be a pass-heavy offense, so it's unclear whether they'll be able to support two or three fantasy receivers. Given Mitchell's speed, he could thrive as a deep-ball threat for Anthony Richardson, who throws a nice long ball.
2.21 - Commanders - TE Ben Sinnott, Kansas State
DLF Dynasty Profile: The late rounds of rookie drafts seem to always give us some good dart throws at tight end. Enter Sinnott, who was pretty productive at Kansas State but also struggles to separate consistently due to a perceived lack of speed. On the plus side, it seems he may be more NFL ready than a lot of other tight ends, giving him a decent floor. Sinnott will need to land in a really good situation to garner consideration in anything but the last round or so in rookie drafts this Spring.
Athletic Comparable: Cole Kmet
Opportunity: B
Paulsen's Fantasy Impact: Sinnott has a chance to play right away, though the Commanders have Zach Ertz, Cole Turner, and John Bates in the tight end room. The Commanders are a little thin after Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson, so whoever emerges as the starter at tight end might see the third-most targets from rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels.
3.01 - Jets - WR Malachi Corley, Western Kentucky
DLF Dynasty Profile: A dynamic small-school playmaker, Corley enters the league with a lot of upside. After posting 180 catches, over 2,000 yards, and scoring 22 touchdowns the past two years, we've seen the production. However, there are serious questions about his level of competition as the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers don't exactly play the same schedule as Alabama. He's going to need to learn a more advanced route tree and refine his skills a bit. However, this a player with serious run after the catch ability that should translate to the next level. While there's a chance he ends up being a part-time player in the NFL, the chance of him hitting his ceiling is going to be tantalizing enough for him to be taken in the early rounds of a rookie draft.
Harmon: “Where he does shine is indeed in the run-after-catch game. Corley was brought down on first contact on just 44% of his “in space” attempts. He routinely makes the first defender miss and isn’t shy about bullying defenders in the open field. That tone-setting presence and YAC potential will have a place in an NFL receiving room. It just takes the right coaching staff to maximize those skills, and he must deployed in a catered role.”
Athletic Comparable: Curtis Samuel
Opportunity: B-
Paulsen's Fantasy Impact: The Jets have their all-level stud in Garrett Wilson and signed downfield threat Mike Williams in free agency. Corley could serve as a gadget threat out of the slot, though he'll have to beat out Aaron Rodgers-favorite Allen Lazard and the promising Xavier Gipson to get on the field. I don't think he'll be a fantasy factor as a rookie, but stranger things have happened.
3.02 - Cardinals - RB Trey Benson, Florida State
DLF Dynasty Profile: There will be great debate as to who the top running back will be this season but Benson could be on the top of many lists based on his upside. There are injury concerns with him but he's an explosive athlete who boasts solid long speed, serious burst, and legitimate explosiveness. Again, the question is going to be durability as he only had 310 carries in his college career. On the plus side, there should also be a lot of tread on his tires and his 23 rushing touchdowns over the past two seasons show he has dynamic ability in the open field. He needs to get stronger and become a better pass blocker. He also needs to refine his pass catching ability but there is a lot to like here and he looks like a player who would be worth first round consideration.
Athletic Comparable: J.K. Dobbins
Opportunity: B-
Paulsen's Fantasy Impact: With the effective James Conner in the fold, this is not the ideal landing spot for the second running back off the board, though the Cardinals could be planning to move on from the 29-year-old. Benson certainly has the talent and versatility to win the RB1 job and if he does, he'll be in the RB2 mix playing alongside Kyler Murray.
3.16 - Bengals - WR Jermaine Burton, Alabama
DLF Dynasty Profile: Burton was a high-profile receiving prospect who started his career at Georgia, then moved on to Alabama in the hopes of really emerging. Despite some solid athletic traits, Burton just never really turned into the player many thought he would. While his 39/798/8 line last year is solid, there are still questions about his true ceiling. He needs some more coaching to refine his skill set but there's a lot to like here late in rookie drafts based on his athletic profile and pedigree alone. At this point, he looks like a late-round rookie draft lottery ticket.
Harmon: “If he had a clean off-field profile and Alabama featured a better offensive environment this past season, Burton would have a case to be considered the WR4 in this draft class across consensus media draft boards. His film is as impressive as anyone your favorite draft analyst has in their second tier. ... If he works at the craft and integrates himself into the fabric of his NFL team, I would be stunned if he doesn’t become a quality wideout. Jermaine Burton has the type of Reception Perception profile I would bet on five times over.”
Athletic Comparable: Henry Ruggs
Opportunity: B
Paulsen's Fantasy Impact: His opportunity could be as high as an A or A- if Tee Higgins holds firm with his trade request. If Higgins reports and plays in 2024, then at best Burton would be the No. 3 option for Joe Burrow. He has off-field/locker-room concerns, but talent-wise, Harmon is a big fan.
3.18 - Cardinals - TE Tip Reiman, Illinois
Paulsen's Fantasy Impact: Reiman profiles as a blocking tight end or H-back, so I'm not expecting much fantasy production as a rookie.
3.19 - Rams - RB Blake Corum, Michigan
DLF Dynasty Profile: It's going to be tough to find many running backs with the kind of production and big-time pedigree Corum brings. After all, this is a player who rushed for over 2,700 yards and 45 touchdowns the past two seasons alone at Michigan. He's going to need to work on his pass-catching ability and his pass blocking needs work. There are also some durability concerns with him and he doesn't look like a true home run hitter, especially after posting a poor performance in the speed metrics at the NFL Scouting Combine. However, Corum looks like a safe running back prospect who may not be a total workhorse but a player who could thrive if paired with a pass-catching partner in the backfield. While he may never be a truly dominant fantasy performer, it's hard to look at him and think he couldn't be a solid roster player in a dynasty league for a long time. As such, he looks like a second round pick in a dynasty league, pending his landing spot.
Athletic Comparable: Javonte Williams
Opportunity: C
Paulsen's Fantasy Impact: Kyren Williams owned the third-highest rushing grade last season, so Corum may have a tough time getting touches as a rookie as long as Williams remains healthy.
3.20 - Steelers - WR Roman Wilson, Michigan
DLF Dynasty Profile: Wilson may have been the victim of a more traditional offense that held him back during his time at Michigan because he some athletic traits you have to admire. While he didn't tear up the pre-draft process as many expected, he still looks plenty fast and strong enough to be effective at the next level. His 12 touchdowns last year at Michigan show he has a nose for the end zone and he's one of the rare players who looks like they play faster in real game action. There's a lot to like here with Wilson, who looks like a third round rookie pick at the moment.
Harmon: “Wilson’s route tree is very intermediate and deep game focused. Wilson fits into the speed slot receiver bucket and he shows an ability to separate on go routes and some big over patterns. There are plenty of offenses looking for a lid-lifter and a guy with juice who are also viable receivers on pre-snap motion plays. Wilson could find a home in that role as a pro but there are several areas we need to see significant development from him to grow into a high-volume target.”
Athletic Comparable: Stefon Diggs
Opportunity: A
Paulsen's Fantasy Impact: Diontae Johnson has moved on, so there are snaps and targets available in the Steelers' WR room. Wilson didn't fare particularly well in Harmon's charting finishing last among the charted rookies in overall Success Rate. Calvin Austin III is looking for a bigger role, and the Steelers have added Marquez Callaway, Quez Watkins and Van Jefferson this offseason. The WR2 job is up for grabs, I'm just not sure Johnson is ready to win it.
3.25 - Packers - RB MarShawn Lloyd, USC
DLF Dynasty Profile: Lloyd really helped himself at this year's NFL Draft Scouting Combine with a 4.46 40 and top-10 finishes in both the vertical leap and bench press. His size (5'9" and 210 pounds) is a question mark, so the bench press in particular was a big number to post. Lloyd has always been productive (he averaged more than seven yards per carry last season) but he also has less than 300 carries in college and hasn't shown much as a receiver at South Carolina or USC. On the plus side, he has a lot of tread left on his tires and could be a bit of a late bloomer. At this point, Lloyd looks to be in line to compete for the RB3 in this class, behind Trey Benson and Jonathon Brooks.
Athletic Comparable: D’Andre Swift
Opportunity: C
Paulsen's Fantasy Impact: Daniel Jeremiah of the NFL Network thinks that Lloyd was the best back in this year's class, so there's that. He joins a backfield that already features Josh Jacobs, A.J. Dillon, and Emmanuel Wilson, but he could easily win the RB2 job if he's as good as advertised. He's going to need Jacobs to miss time to make much of a fantasy impact in year one.
3.29 - Buccaneers - WR Jalen McMillan, Washington
DLF Dynasty Profile: It's rare to see two wideouts from the same school ranked in towards the top of the draft (see Nabers, Malik and Thomas, Brian of LSU) but nearly unheard of to see three. Such is the case with McMillan, Rome Odunze and Ja'Lynn Polk of Washington this year. McMillan is a bit of a forgotten man but really shouldn't be. Injuries limited him to just seven games and a 45/559/5 season but his last fully healthy year in 2022 yielded a 79/1,098/9 line that was borderline dominant. The challenge with McMillan is his lean frame and questions about his strength are also evident. However, he's one of the few true route technicians in this year's class and could be more NFL-ready than most in the class. At this point, he looks like a solid pick in round two of a rookie draft.
Harmon: “I talk about that popgun or bunny hop slot receiver archetype, and that’s where I see McMillan sliding, if he hits. It’s not as enthralling in a world with vertical weapons inside and power slots roaming the league, but there is still a place for this guy in certain offenses. It wouldn’t surprise me to see McMillan have a Hunter Renfrow type of career. Renfrow was a similarly impactful player in his best seasons on critical downs and in the red zone, as outlined above for McMillan.”
Athletic Comparable: Nelson Agholor
Opportunity: C+
Paulsen's Fantasy Impact: At best, McMillan would slide in as the third or fourth option behind Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and perhaps Cade Otton.
3.37 - Commanders - WR Luke McCaffrey, Rice
Harmon: "There doesn’t appear to be much upside as a downfield weapon in McCaffrey’s game at present. His out and post-route success rates were low, considering the high volume he ran those patterns. ... McCaffrey should be best in the slot as a pro but will need to further season his route running to have the necessary flare to win in situations beyond layup routes against zones. His game is a bit one-dimensional right now but he’s solid when viewed in that hyper-specific lens."
Athletic Comparable: Zay Jones
Opportunity: B
Paulsen's Fantasy Impact: McCaffrey can perhaps replace some of Curtis Samuel's production now that he's moved onto Buffalo.